**Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Meteoprog converge on a minimum temperature of 24–26°C for Tel Aviv on September 2, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean climatology where nocturnal radiative cooling under clear, stable high-pressure conditions typically produces lows near the 24°C historical average.** Light northerly to northwesterly winds, moderate humidity (70–90% overnight), and proximity to the sea moderate temperature drops, limiting extremes. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement through the night of September 1–2, with no incoming fronts or unusual advection expected. Market-implied odds evenly distributed across 20–28°C reflect residual uncertainty in precise station readings and microscale variations, while the low probability on 29°C+ aligns with the absence of heatwave signals and the slim chance of 19°C or below given current thermodynamic profiles. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent guidance or local Israeli Meteorological Service runs will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 2?
20°C 100%
22°C 100%
23°C 100%
24°C 100%
19°C or below
81%
20°C
100%
21°C
50%
22°C
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
100%
25°C
-
26°C
100%
27°C
100%
28°C
100%
29°C or higher
6%
20°C 100%
22°C 100%
23°C 100%
24°C 100%
19°C or below
81%
20°C
100%
21°C
50%
22°C
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
100%
25°C
-
26°C
100%
27°C
100%
28°C
100%
29°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Meteoprog converge on a minimum temperature of 24–26°C for Tel Aviv on September 2, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean climatology where nocturnal radiative cooling under clear, stable high-pressure conditions typically produces lows near the 24°C historical average.** Light northerly to northwesterly winds, moderate humidity (70–90% overnight), and proximity to the sea moderate temperature drops, limiting extremes. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement through the night of September 1–2, with no incoming fronts or unusual advection expected. Market-implied odds evenly distributed across 20–28°C reflect residual uncertainty in precise station readings and microscale variations, while the low probability on 29°C+ aligns with the absence of heatwave signals and the slim chance of 19°C or below given current thermodynamic profiles. Updated NHC/NOAA-equivalent guidance or local Israeli Meteorological Service runs will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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