Current ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Amsterdam on September 2 will likely fall between 14–17°C, shaped by moderate southwesterly winds of 10–15 km/h and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Persistent mild air advection from the Atlantic, combined with dew points near 13–14°C and only slight rain chances after midnight, supports this range rather than sharper drops. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, yet recent model runs show limited spread due to stable synoptic patterns. Trader consensus around 15–18°C outcomes aligns with these near-term variables, where even modest shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed could differentiate exact readings before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 2?
14°C 100%
16°C 99%
15°C 56%
13°C 38%
9°C or below
8%
10°C
8%
11°C
4%
12°C
9%
13°C
38%
14°C
100%
15°C
56%
16°C
99%
17°C
20%
18°C
20%
19°C or higher
15%
14°C 100%
16°C 99%
15°C 56%
13°C 38%
9°C or below
8%
10°C
8%
11°C
4%
12°C
9%
13°C
38%
14°C
100%
15°C
56%
16°C
99%
17°C
20%
18°C
20%
19°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Amsterdam on September 2 will likely fall between 14–17°C, shaped by moderate southwesterly winds of 10–15 km/h and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Persistent mild air advection from the Atlantic, combined with dew points near 13–14°C and only slight rain chances after midnight, supports this range rather than sharper drops. Historical September averages near 12°C provide context, yet recent model runs show limited spread due to stable synoptic patterns. Trader consensus around 15–18°C outcomes aligns with these near-term variables, where even modest shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed could differentiate exact readings before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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