Forecast models from sources including GFS and local meteorological services point to a daily maximum near 27–28°C in Istanbul on September 3 under mostly sunny skies and persistent northeasterly flow typical of early autumn. This positioning favors the market's leading 26°C outcome (52.5% implied probability) amid slight cooling from recent 29–30°C readings on September 1–2, with moderate humidity and wind speeds of 10–18 km/h limiting peak heating. Ensemble consensus shows limited upside risk above 28°C given stable high pressure and no significant warm advection, while downside scenarios to 25°C remain plausible if cloud cover increases or winds strengthen. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 3?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 3?
26°C 53%
25°C 28%
27°C 28%
28°C 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
6%
24°C
11%
25°C
28%
26°C
53%
27°C
28%
28°C
18%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 53%
25°C 28%
27°C 28%
28°C 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
22°C
$42 ปริมาณ
4%
23°C
$5 ปริมาณ
6%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
26°C
$31 ปริมาณ
53%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
29°C
$5 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and local meteorological services point to a daily maximum near 27–28°C in Istanbul on September 3 under mostly sunny skies and persistent northeasterly flow typical of early autumn. This positioning favors the market's leading 26°C outcome (52.5% implied probability) amid slight cooling from recent 29–30°C readings on September 1–2, with moderate humidity and wind speeds of 10–18 km/h limiting peak heating. Ensemble consensus shows limited upside risk above 28°C given stable high pressure and no significant warm advection, while downside scenarios to 25°C remain plausible if cloud cover increases or winds strengthen. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$98วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and local meteorological services point to a daily maximum near 27–28°C in Istanbul on September 3 under mostly sunny skies and persistent northeasterly flow typical of early autumn. This positioning favors the market's leading 26°C outcome (52.5% implied probability) amid slight cooling from recent 29–30°C readings on September 1–2, with moderate humidity and wind speeds of 10–18 km/h limiting peak heating. Ensemble consensus shows limited upside risk above 28°C given stable high pressure and no significant warm advection, while downside scenarios to 25°C remain plausible if cloud cover increases or winds strengthen. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$98วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and local meteorological services point to a daily maximum near 27–28°C in Istanbul on September 3 under mostly sunny skies and persistent northeasterly flow typical of early autumn. This positioning favors the market's leading 26°C outcome (52.5% implied probability) amid slight cooling from recent 29–30°C readings on September 1–2, with moderate humidity and wind speeds of 10–18 km/h limiting peak heating. Ensemble consensus shows limited upside risk above 28°C given stable high pressure and no significant warm advection, while downside scenarios to 25°C remain plausible if cloud cover increases or winds strengthen. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย