Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for September 3 in New York City indicate a likely daily maximum in the low-to-mid 80s under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible. Southerly flow advecting humid air, combined with diurnal convection and cloud cover, tends to suppress peak temperatures by reducing insolation, while any breaks in cloudiness or delayed precipitation could allow readings several degrees higher. This uncertainty across ensemble members and timing of convective development produces the market's nearly uniform implied probabilities across the 76–93°F bins. Updated short-range model runs and National Hurricane Center or local NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts traders monitor ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on September 3?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 3?
82-83°F 19%
84-85°F 19%
86-87°F 19%
80-81°F 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
3%
94°F or higher
12%
82-83°F 19%
84-85°F 19%
86-87°F 19%
80-81°F 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
75°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
78-79°F
$8 ปริมาณ
8%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
82-83°F
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
84-85°F
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
86-87°F
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
88-89°F
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
90-91°F
$20 ปริมาณ
10%
92-93°F
$11 ปริมาณ
3%
94°F or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for September 3 in New York City indicate a likely daily maximum in the low-to-mid 80s under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible. Southerly flow advecting humid air, combined with diurnal convection and cloud cover, tends to suppress peak temperatures by reducing insolation, while any breaks in cloudiness or delayed precipitation could allow readings several degrees higher. This uncertainty across ensemble members and timing of convective development produces the market's nearly uniform implied probabilities across the 76–93°F bins. Updated short-range model runs and National Hurricane Center or local NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts traders monitor ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for September 3 in New York City indicate a likely daily maximum in the low-to-mid 80s under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible. Southerly flow advecting humid air, combined with diurnal convection and cloud cover, tends to suppress peak temperatures by reducing insolation, while any breaks in cloudiness or delayed precipitation could allow readings several degrees higher. This uncertainty across ensemble members and timing of convective development produces the market's nearly uniform implied probabilities across the 76–93°F bins. Updated short-range model runs and National Hurricane Center or local NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts traders monitor ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for September 3 in New York City indicate a likely daily maximum in the low-to-mid 80s under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible. Southerly flow advecting humid air, combined with diurnal convection and cloud cover, tends to suppress peak temperatures by reducing insolation, while any breaks in cloudiness or delayed precipitation could allow readings several degrees higher. This uncertainty across ensemble members and timing of convective development produces the market's nearly uniform implied probabilities across the 76–93°F bins. Updated short-range model runs and National Hurricane Center or local NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data shifts traders monitor ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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