**Forecast consensus points to an overnight low in the upper 70s for Houston on September 3, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 80–81°F (41.5%) and 78–79°F (30%).** Current National Weather Service and private model guidance (as of September 1) show highs near 89–98°F under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms possible, followed by lows of 77–79°F. These values sit close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 75°F for the date and reflect typical early-September Gulf moisture and light southerly flow that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Higher probabilities on the 78–81°F bins reflect trader assessment of model consistency, while the 27.5% on 71°F or below captures residual uncertainty from any unexpected clearing or a stronger-than-expected cold pool. No significant cold front or anomalous pattern is indicated in the latest runs, keeping the distribution centered on upper-70s readings. Updated NWS and model guidance over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term catalyst for any shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Houston on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Houston on September 3?
90°F or higher 55%
71°F or below 53%
84-85°F 49%
80-81°F 32%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
71°F or below
53%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
49%
86-87°F
18%
88-89°F
19%
90°F or higher
55%
90°F or higher 55%
71°F or below 53%
84-85°F 49%
80-81°F 32%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
71°F or below
$20 ปริมาณ
53%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
82-83°F
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
84-85°F
$10 ปริมาณ
49%
86-87°F
$10 ปริมาณ
18%
88-89°F
$10 ปริมาณ
19%
90°F or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to an overnight low in the upper 70s for Houston on September 3, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 80–81°F (41.5%) and 78–79°F (30%).**
Current National Weather Service and private model guidance (as of September 1) show highs near 89–98°F under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms possible, followed by lows of 77–79°F. These values sit close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 75°F for the date and reflect typical early-September Gulf moisture and light southerly flow that limits nighttime radiative cooling.
Higher probabilities on the 78–81°F bins reflect trader assessment of model consistency, while the 27.5% on 71°F or below captures residual uncertainty from any unexpected clearing or a stronger-than-expected cold pool. No significant cold front or anomalous pattern is indicated in the latest runs, keeping the distribution centered on upper-70s readings. Updated NWS and model guidance over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term catalyst for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to an overnight low in the upper 70s for Houston on September 3, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 80–81°F (41.5%) and 78–79°F (30%).**
Current National Weather Service and private model guidance (as of September 1) show highs near 89–98°F under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms possible, followed by lows of 77–79°F. These values sit close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 75°F for the date and reflect typical early-September Gulf moisture and light southerly flow that limits nighttime radiative cooling.
Higher probabilities on the 78–81°F bins reflect trader assessment of model consistency, while the 27.5% on 71°F or below captures residual uncertainty from any unexpected clearing or a stronger-than-expected cold pool. No significant cold front or anomalous pattern is indicated in the latest runs, keeping the distribution centered on upper-70s readings. Updated NWS and model guidance over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term catalyst for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus points to an overnight low in the upper 70s for Houston on September 3, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 80–81°F (41.5%) and 78–79°F (30%).** Current National Weather Service and private model guidance (as of September 1) show highs near 89–98°F under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms possible, followed by lows of 77–79°F. These values sit close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 75°F for the date and reflect typical early-September Gulf moisture and light southerly flow that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Higher probabilities on the 78–81°F bins reflect trader assessment of model consistency, while the 27.5% on 71°F or below captures residual uncertainty from any unexpected clearing or a stronger-than-expected cold pool. No significant cold front or anomalous pattern is indicated in the latest runs, keeping the distribution centered on upper-70s readings. Updated NWS and model guidance over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term catalyst for any shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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