Forecast consensus points to an overnight low in the mid-to-upper 70s for Austin on September 3, driven by persistent southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and limited nocturnal cooling under high humidity and light winds. Multiple National Weather Service and private model runs show highs near 98–99°F with minimal diurnal range, reflecting the continuation of above-average late-summer warmth after a hot August. Cloud cover and any scattered afternoon convection could modestly suppress radiative cooling and keep the minimum above the climatological 71°F average, while clearer intervals or slightly stronger winds might allow brief dips toward 76°F. Traders appear to weigh these subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and moisture, producing closely matched probabilities across the 76–79°F bins as the final observation window approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Austin on September 3?
88°F or higher 56%
69°F or below 49%
70-71°F 46%
84-85°F 46%
69°F or below
49%
70-71°F
46%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
46%
86-87°F
13%
88°F or higher
56%
88°F or higher 56%
69°F or below 49%
70-71°F 46%
84-85°F 46%
69°F or below
49%
70-71°F
46%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
46%
86-87°F
13%
88°F or higher
56%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus points to an overnight low in the mid-to-upper 70s for Austin on September 3, driven by persistent southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and limited nocturnal cooling under high humidity and light winds. Multiple National Weather Service and private model runs show highs near 98–99°F with minimal diurnal range, reflecting the continuation of above-average late-summer warmth after a hot August. Cloud cover and any scattered afternoon convection could modestly suppress radiative cooling and keep the minimum above the climatological 71°F average, while clearer intervals or slightly stronger winds might allow brief dips toward 76°F. Traders appear to weigh these subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and moisture, producing closely matched probabilities across the 76–79°F bins as the final observation window approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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