Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for September 4 point to a typical early-September marine layer regime, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to sunny skies and southwest winds of 10–15 mph that limit inland heating. This setup favors a daily high near the 1991–2020 average of 76.7 °F at downtown or airport stations, consistent with the market’s 53.5 % implied probability for 76–77 °F and 32 % for 78–79 °F. Ensemble forecasts show little spread, with only modest warming possible if the marine layer thins earlier than expected; stronger onshore flow or delayed clearing would instead cap readings in the mid-70s. No significant heat-wave signals or offshore wind events appear in the latest runs, keeping probabilities concentrated around climatological norms.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 4?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 4?
76-77°F 54%
78-79°F 32%
74-75°F 9%
80-81°F 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
54%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
2%
76-77°F 54%
78-79°F 32%
74-75°F 9%
80-81°F 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
65°F or below
$107 ปริมาณ
<1%
66-67°F
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
68-69°F
$100 ปริมาณ
2%
70-71°F
$82 ปริมาณ
2%
72-73°F
$60 ปริมาณ
2%
74-75°F
$351 ปริมาณ
9%
76-77°F
$2,389 ปริมาณ
54%
78-79°F
$430 ปริมาณ
32%
80-81°F
$161 ปริมาณ
7%
82-83°F
$77 ปริมาณ
2%
84°F or higher
$92 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for September 4 point to a typical early-September marine layer regime, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to sunny skies and southwest winds of 10–15 mph that limit inland heating. This setup favors a daily high near the 1991–2020 average of 76.7 °F at downtown or airport stations, consistent with the market’s 53.5 % implied probability for 76–77 °F and 32 % for 78–79 °F. Ensemble forecasts show little spread, with only modest warming possible if the marine layer thins earlier than expected; stronger onshore flow or delayed clearing would instead cap readings in the mid-70s. No significant heat-wave signals or offshore wind events appear in the latest runs, keeping probabilities concentrated around climatological norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,848วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 7:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for September 4 point to a typical early-September marine layer regime, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to sunny skies and southwest winds of 10–15 mph that limit inland heating. This setup favors a daily high near the 1991–2020 average of 76.7 °F at downtown or airport stations, consistent with the market’s 53.5 % implied probability for 76–77 °F and 32 % for 78–79 °F. Ensemble forecasts show little spread, with only modest warming possible if the marine layer thins earlier than expected; stronger onshore flow or delayed clearing would instead cap readings in the mid-70s. No significant heat-wave signals or offshore wind events appear in the latest runs, keeping probabilities concentrated around climatological norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,848วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 7:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for September 4 point to a typical early-September marine layer regime, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to sunny skies and southwest winds of 10–15 mph that limit inland heating. This setup favors a daily high near the 1991–2020 average of 76.7 °F at downtown or airport stations, consistent with the market’s 53.5 % implied probability for 76–77 °F and 32 % for 78–79 °F. Ensemble forecasts show little spread, with only modest warming possible if the marine layer thins earlier than expected; stronger onshore flow or delayed clearing would instead cap readings in the mid-70s. No significant heat-wave signals or offshore wind events appear in the latest runs, keeping probabilities concentrated around climatological norms.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย