Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a maximum of 21°C in Amsterdam on September 2 as the most likely outcome, driving the 48.5% market-implied probability. A broad area of high pressure centered over the North Sea is expected to deliver mostly clear skies and weak southerly flow, supporting modest diurnal heating while the cool North Sea moderates temperatures and limits the upside risk of 23°C or higher. Late-summer climatology shows average early-September maxima near 19–20°C, so the current pattern reflects a slight positive anomaly. Traders are watching the next model cycles for any changes in boundary-layer moisture or frontal timing that could shift the distribution within the narrow 20–22°C window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 2?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 2?
21°C 47%
22°C 40%
20°C 10%
24°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C
10%
21°C
47%
22°C
40%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 47%
22°C 40%
20°C 10%
24°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
16°C or below
$81 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$162 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$41 ปริมาณ
5%
19°C
$151 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C
$147 ปริมาณ
10%
21°C
$209 ปริมาณ
47%
22°C
$298 ปริมาณ
40%
23°C
$131 ปริมาณ
3%
24°C
$5 ปริมาณ
6%
25°C
$131 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C or higher
$260 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a maximum of 21°C in Amsterdam on September 2 as the most likely outcome, driving the 48.5% market-implied probability. A broad area of high pressure centered over the North Sea is expected to deliver mostly clear skies and weak southerly flow, supporting modest diurnal heating while the cool North Sea moderates temperatures and limits the upside risk of 23°C or higher. Late-summer climatology shows average early-September maxima near 19–20°C, so the current pattern reflects a slight positive anomaly. Traders are watching the next model cycles for any changes in boundary-layer moisture or frontal timing that could shift the distribution within the narrow 20–22°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,614วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a maximum of 21°C in Amsterdam on September 2 as the most likely outcome, driving the 48.5% market-implied probability. A broad area of high pressure centered over the North Sea is expected to deliver mostly clear skies and weak southerly flow, supporting modest diurnal heating while the cool North Sea moderates temperatures and limits the upside risk of 23°C or higher. Late-summer climatology shows average early-September maxima near 19–20°C, so the current pattern reflects a slight positive anomaly. Traders are watching the next model cycles for any changes in boundary-layer moisture or frontal timing that could shift the distribution within the narrow 20–22°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,614วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts point to a maximum of 21°C in Amsterdam on September 2 as the most likely outcome, driving the 48.5% market-implied probability. A broad area of high pressure centered over the North Sea is expected to deliver mostly clear skies and weak southerly flow, supporting modest diurnal heating while the cool North Sea moderates temperatures and limits the upside risk of 23°C or higher. Late-summer climatology shows average early-September maxima near 19–20°C, so the current pattern reflects a slight positive anomaly. Traders are watching the next model cycles for any changes in boundary-layer moisture or frontal timing that could shift the distribution within the narrow 20–22°C window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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