Forecast uncertainty for San Francisco's September 2 low centers on marine layer depth, onshore flow strength, and cloud cover timing, with National Weather Service guidance showing model spreads that keep multiple temperature ranges near 50% implied probability. Variable Pacific high positioning and wind patterns can either sustain fog-driven cooling or permit modest warming, producing a broad distribution around the typical 55°F September baseline. Official monitoring and updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in San Francisco on September 2?
49°F or below 100%
50-51°F 100%
58-59°F 100%
60-61°F 100%
49°F or below
100%
50-51°F
100%
52-53°F
97%
54-55°F
97%
56-57°F
97%
58-59°F
100%
60-61°F
100%
62-63°F
100%
64-65°F
100%
66-67°F
100%
68°F or higher
100%
49°F or below 100%
50-51°F 100%
58-59°F 100%
60-61°F 100%
49°F or below
100%
50-51°F
100%
52-53°F
97%
54-55°F
97%
56-57°F
97%
58-59°F
100%
60-61°F
100%
62-63°F
100%
64-65°F
100%
66-67°F
100%
68°F or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty for San Francisco's September 2 low centers on marine layer depth, onshore flow strength, and cloud cover timing, with National Weather Service guidance showing model spreads that keep multiple temperature ranges near 50% implied probability. Variable Pacific high positioning and wind patterns can either sustain fog-driven cooling or permit modest warming, producing a broad distribution around the typical 55°F September baseline. Official monitoring and updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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