Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a daytime maximum near 25–26°C for Mexico City on September 4, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 50% during peak heating hours. Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation limits extreme warmth, while September's typical convective activity and scattered showers introduce variability in afternoon cloud cover that can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C. Trader consensus favoring 26–27°C reflects slight upward revisions in recent model outputs compared to climatological norms of 22–24°C highs, with uncertainty centered on the precise timing and extent of any precipitation. Updated model guidance and surface observations tomorrow morning will likely refine these ranges before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 4?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 4?
27°C 47%
26°C 30%
28°C 18%
25°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
30%
27°C
47%
28°C
18%
29°C or higher
2%
27°C 47%
26°C 30%
28°C 18%
25°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
19°C or below
$165 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$400 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$372 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$388 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$87 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$125 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$342 ปริมาณ
8%
26°C
$1,696 ปริมาณ
30%
27°C
$347 ปริมาณ
47%
28°C
$434 ปริมาณ
18%
29°C or higher
$119 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a daytime maximum near 25–26°C for Mexico City on September 4, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 50% during peak heating hours. Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation limits extreme warmth, while September's typical convective activity and scattered showers introduce variability in afternoon cloud cover that can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C. Trader consensus favoring 26–27°C reflects slight upward revisions in recent model outputs compared to climatological norms of 22–24°C highs, with uncertainty centered on the precise timing and extent of any precipitation. Updated model guidance and surface observations tomorrow morning will likely refine these ranges before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,475วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a daytime maximum near 25–26°C for Mexico City on September 4, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 50% during peak heating hours. Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation limits extreme warmth, while September's typical convective activity and scattered showers introduce variability in afternoon cloud cover that can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C. Trader consensus favoring 26–27°C reflects slight upward revisions in recent model outputs compared to climatological norms of 22–24°C highs, with uncertainty centered on the precise timing and extent of any precipitation. Updated model guidance and surface observations tomorrow morning will likely refine these ranges before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,475วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a daytime maximum near 25–26°C for Mexico City on September 4, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 50% during peak heating hours. Mexico City's 2,240-meter elevation limits extreme warmth, while September's typical convective activity and scattered showers introduce variability in afternoon cloud cover that can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C. Trader consensus favoring 26–27°C reflects slight upward revisions in recent model outputs compared to climatological norms of 22–24°C highs, with uncertainty centered on the precise timing and extent of any precipitation. Updated model guidance and surface observations tomorrow morning will likely refine these ranges before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย