Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a moderating southwesterly flow over Moscow on September 2, with daytime maxima likely reaching 20–22 °C amid increased cloud cover and light rain chances that limit solar heating. This follows warmer conditions on September 1 and aligns with climatological norms near 18–19 °C while reflecting a post-summer cooling trend. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 20 °C (38 %) and 21 °C (40 %) captures minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and timing of any showers, with lower odds for 22 °C reflecting reduced likelihood of stronger warm advection. Updated short-range guidance in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on September 2?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 2?
21°C 44%
20°C 35%
22°C 11%
18°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
10%
19°C
8%
20°C
35%
21°C
44%
22°C
11%
23°C
7%
24°C
5%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 44%
20°C 35%
22°C 11%
18°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
15°C or below
$129 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$145 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$309 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C
$488 ปริมาณ
10%
19°C
$66 ปริมาณ
8%
20°C
$115 ปริมาณ
35%
21°C
$249 ปริมาณ
44%
22°C
$164 ปริมาณ
11%
23°C
$5 ปริมาณ
7%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
25°C or higher
$286 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a moderating southwesterly flow over Moscow on September 2, with daytime maxima likely reaching 20–22 °C amid increased cloud cover and light rain chances that limit solar heating. This follows warmer conditions on September 1 and aligns with climatological norms near 18–19 °C while reflecting a post-summer cooling trend. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 20 °C (38 %) and 21 °C (40 %) captures minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and timing of any showers, with lower odds for 22 °C reflecting reduced likelihood of stronger warm advection. Updated short-range guidance in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,956วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a moderating southwesterly flow over Moscow on September 2, with daytime maxima likely reaching 20–22 °C amid increased cloud cover and light rain chances that limit solar heating. This follows warmer conditions on September 1 and aligns with climatological norms near 18–19 °C while reflecting a post-summer cooling trend. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 20 °C (38 %) and 21 °C (40 %) captures minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and timing of any showers, with lower odds for 22 °C reflecting reduced likelihood of stronger warm advection. Updated short-range guidance in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,956วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a moderating southwesterly flow over Moscow on September 2, with daytime maxima likely reaching 20–22 °C amid increased cloud cover and light rain chances that limit solar heating. This follows warmer conditions on September 1 and aligns with climatological norms near 18–19 °C while reflecting a post-summer cooling trend. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 20 °C (38 %) and 21 °C (40 %) captures minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture, wind speed, and timing of any showers, with lower odds for 22 °C reflecting reduced likelihood of stronger warm advection. Updated short-range guidance in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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