Current high-pressure systems dominating eastern China, combined with clear to mostly sunny conditions and light winds, are driving consensus forecasts for a daily maximum of 33–34°C in Chongqing on September 3. Subtropical monsoon climate and basin topography enhance daytime heating under subsidence, while moderate humidity (around 40–50%) and minimal cloud cover limit cooling. Model spreads arise from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing or minor moisture intrusions that could elevate readings to 35°C or cap them near 33°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds around these levels. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 3?
34°C 32%
35°C 30%
32°C 14%
36°C 14%
30°C or below
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
9%
33°C
10%
34°C
32%
35°C
30%
36°C
14%
37°C
8%
38°C
6%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
2%
34°C 32%
35°C 30%
32°C 14%
36°C 14%
30°C or below
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
9%
33°C
10%
34°C
32%
35°C
30%
36°C
14%
37°C
8%
38°C
6%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current high-pressure systems dominating eastern China, combined with clear to mostly sunny conditions and light winds, are driving consensus forecasts for a daily maximum of 33–34°C in Chongqing on September 3. Subtropical monsoon climate and basin topography enhance daytime heating under subsidence, while moderate humidity (around 40–50%) and minimal cloud cover limit cooling. Model spreads arise from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing or minor moisture intrusions that could elevate readings to 35°C or cap them near 33°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds around these levels. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the outcome ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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