Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Chongqing on September 2 most likely between 21–24°C under clear skies and light variable winds, with radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 33–34°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and the absence of cloud cover or precipitation enhance surface cooling, aligning with early-September climatology where lows typically range 22–24°C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21°C (45.5%) and 23°C (44.0%) reflects genuine uncertainty in exact overnight minimums, driven by minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that can shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration on September 1–2 will provide the final resolution data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 2?
18°C 85%
22°C 85%
23°C 85%
24°C 85%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
13%
18°C
85%
19°C
84%
20°C
84%
21°C
56%
22°C
85%
23°C
85%
24°C
85%
25°C
85%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
12%
18°C 85%
22°C 85%
23°C 85%
24°C 85%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
17°C or below
$63 ปริมาณ
13%
18°C
$26 ปริมาณ
85%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
84%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
84%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
56%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
85%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
85%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
85%
25°C
$5 ปริมาณ
85%
26°C
$5 ปริมาณ
7%
27°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Chongqing on September 2 most likely between 21–24°C under clear skies and light variable winds, with radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 33–34°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and the absence of cloud cover or precipitation enhance surface cooling, aligning with early-September climatology where lows typically range 22–24°C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21°C (45.5%) and 23°C (44.0%) reflects genuine uncertainty in exact overnight minimums, driven by minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that can shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration on September 1–2 will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$104วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Chongqing on September 2 most likely between 21–24°C under clear skies and light variable winds, with radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 33–34°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and the absence of cloud cover or precipitation enhance surface cooling, aligning with early-September climatology where lows typically range 22–24°C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21°C (45.5%) and 23°C (44.0%) reflects genuine uncertainty in exact overnight minimums, driven by minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that can shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration on September 1–2 will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$104วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Chongqing on September 2 most likely between 21–24°C under clear skies and light variable winds, with radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 33–34°C. Stable high-pressure conditions and the absence of cloud cover or precipitation enhance surface cooling, aligning with early-September climatology where lows typically range 22–24°C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21°C (45.5%) and 23°C (44.0%) reflects genuine uncertainty in exact overnight minimums, driven by minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that can shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration on September 1–2 will provide the final resolution data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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