Strong southeasterly winds and clearing skies after Thursday’s rain and cloud cover are the main near-term drivers, with high pressure promoting subsidence and dry-air advection that favors daytime warming. Multiple forecasts converge on a maximum near 18–20 °C on 4 September, consistent with typical early-spring climatology for Cape Town when the south-easter mixes the boundary layer yet allows sufficient insolation. Differences among 17 °C and 21 °C outcomes hinge on small variations in wind strength, exact clearing timing, and model spread in surface heating rates; stronger winds could enhance mixing and cap the peak closer to 17–18 °C, while lighter flow or delayed clearing could permit brief excursions toward 21 °C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow uncertainty range two days before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 4?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 4?
19°C 36%
20°C 33%
21°C 22%
18°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
14°C or below
3%
15°C
3%
16°C
6%
17°C
9%
18°C
12%
19°C
36%
20°C
33%
21°C
22%
22°C
10%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
4%
19°C 36%
20°C 33%
21°C 22%
18°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
14°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
3%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
16°C
$190 ปริมาณ
6%
17°C
$17 ปริมาณ
9%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
19°C
$11 ปริมาณ
36%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
33%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
24°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong southeasterly winds and clearing skies after Thursday’s rain and cloud cover are the main near-term drivers, with high pressure promoting subsidence and dry-air advection that favors daytime warming. Multiple forecasts converge on a maximum near 18–20 °C on 4 September, consistent with typical early-spring climatology for Cape Town when the south-easter mixes the boundary layer yet allows sufficient insolation. Differences among 17 °C and 21 °C outcomes hinge on small variations in wind strength, exact clearing timing, and model spread in surface heating rates; stronger winds could enhance mixing and cap the peak closer to 17–18 °C, while lighter flow or delayed clearing could permit brief excursions toward 21 °C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow uncertainty range two days before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$229วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong southeasterly winds and clearing skies after Thursday’s rain and cloud cover are the main near-term drivers, with high pressure promoting subsidence and dry-air advection that favors daytime warming. Multiple forecasts converge on a maximum near 18–20 °C on 4 September, consistent with typical early-spring climatology for Cape Town when the south-easter mixes the boundary layer yet allows sufficient insolation. Differences among 17 °C and 21 °C outcomes hinge on small variations in wind strength, exact clearing timing, and model spread in surface heating rates; stronger winds could enhance mixing and cap the peak closer to 17–18 °C, while lighter flow or delayed clearing could permit brief excursions toward 21 °C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow uncertainty range two days before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$229วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Strong southeasterly winds and clearing skies after Thursday’s rain and cloud cover are the main near-term drivers, with high pressure promoting subsidence and dry-air advection that favors daytime warming. Multiple forecasts converge on a maximum near 18–20 °C on 4 September, consistent with typical early-spring climatology for Cape Town when the south-easter mixes the boundary layer yet allows sufficient insolation. Differences among 17 °C and 21 °C outcomes hinge on small variations in wind strength, exact clearing timing, and model spread in surface heating rates; stronger winds could enhance mixing and cap the peak closer to 17–18 °C, while lighter flow or delayed clearing could permit brief excursions toward 21 °C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow uncertainty range two days before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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