**Recent forecast model consensus from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and others positions a maximum of 30–31°C as the most probable outcome for Karachi on September 4, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 31°C share at 48.5%.** Westerly to southwesterly winds of 15–18 mph, combined with partly to mostly cloudy skies and modest humidity (around 65–75% during peak hours), are expected to limit daytime heating and suppress temperatures below seasonal peaks. Historical September averages near 31°C (roughly 88°F) provide climatological context, while low precipitation risk and stable pressure patterns reduce the chance of significant deviations. With resolution imminent, updated National Weather Service or Pakistan Meteorological Department runs represent the key near-term catalyst that could shift implied probabilities between the clustered 30–32°C outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Karachi on September 4?
31°C 51%
32°C 29%
30°C 12%
33°C 8%
26°C or below
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
7%
30°C
12%
31°C
51%
32°C
29%
33°C
8%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
3%
31°C 51%
32°C 29%
30°C 12%
33°C 8%
26°C or below
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
7%
30°C
12%
31°C
51%
32°C
29%
33°C
8%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast model consensus from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and others positions a maximum of 30–31°C as the most probable outcome for Karachi on September 4, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 31°C share at 48.5%.** Westerly to southwesterly winds of 15–18 mph, combined with partly to mostly cloudy skies and modest humidity (around 65–75% during peak hours), are expected to limit daytime heating and suppress temperatures below seasonal peaks. Historical September averages near 31°C (roughly 88°F) provide climatological context, while low precipitation risk and stable pressure patterns reduce the chance of significant deviations. With resolution imminent, updated National Weather Service or Pakistan Meteorological Department runs represent the key near-term catalyst that could shift implied probabilities between the clustered 30–32°C outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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