Recent forecasts from global models indicate minimum temperatures in Cape Town on September 8 will likely range 15–17°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal cooling. This setup favors radiative heat loss but draws from a mild maritime air mass typical of early spring, keeping values above the seasonal average minimum near 11–12°C. Small shifts in wind direction, timing of any thin cloud, or local topographic effects across the city versus airport stations could differentiate exact outcomes among the closely matched 15°C and 16°C probabilities. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions against historical variability and potential model revisions ahead of the 48-hour window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 8?
13°C 49%
18°C 49%
19°C 49%
16°C 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 8, 2026
11°C or below
18%
12°C
20%
13°C
49%
14°C
27%
15°C
28%
16°C
28%
17°C
25%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C
16%
21°C or higher
26%
13°C 49%
18°C 49%
19°C 49%
16°C 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 8, 2026
11°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
18°C
$34 ปริมาณ
49%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
21°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate minimum temperatures in Cape Town on September 8 will likely range 15–17°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal cooling. This setup favors radiative heat loss but draws from a mild maritime air mass typical of early spring, keeping values above the seasonal average minimum near 11–12°C. Small shifts in wind direction, timing of any thin cloud, or local topographic effects across the city versus airport stations could differentiate exact outcomes among the closely matched 15°C and 16°C probabilities. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions against historical variability and potential model revisions ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate minimum temperatures in Cape Town on September 8 will likely range 15–17°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal cooling. This setup favors radiative heat loss but draws from a mild maritime air mass typical of early spring, keeping values above the seasonal average minimum near 11–12°C. Small shifts in wind direction, timing of any thin cloud, or local topographic effects across the city versus airport stations could differentiate exact outcomes among the closely matched 15°C and 16°C probabilities. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions against historical variability and potential model revisions ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 6, 2026, 1:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models indicate minimum temperatures in Cape Town on September 8 will likely range 15–17°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light variable winds that limit nocturnal cooling. This setup favors radiative heat loss but draws from a mild maritime air mass typical of early spring, keeping values above the seasonal average minimum near 11–12°C. Small shifts in wind direction, timing of any thin cloud, or local topographic effects across the city versus airport stations could differentiate exact outcomes among the closely matched 15°C and 16°C probabilities. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions against historical variability and potential model revisions ahead of the 48-hour window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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