Recent forecasts from multiple numerical weather prediction models position 26°C as the most probable daily maximum in Milan on September 13, supported by stable high pressure, light southeasterly winds, and limited cloud cover that allows efficient daytime heating. Current conditions show temperatures climbing toward 25°C today under similar synoptic patterns, with ensemble guidance clustering tightly around 25–27°C and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader-implied odds favoring 26°C at 59.5% and 27°C at 34%, reflecting model consensus on modest warming above September climatological averages near 22–24°C while acknowledging small uncertainties from potential afternoon cloud increases or minor wind shifts that could cap or boost the peak by 1°C. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for this short-term market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on September 13?
26°C 60%
27°C 35%
25°C 7%
28°C 2%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
60%
27°C
35%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
26°C 60%
27°C 35%
25°C 7%
28°C 2%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
60%
27°C
35%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple numerical weather prediction models position 26°C as the most probable daily maximum in Milan on September 13, supported by stable high pressure, light southeasterly winds, and limited cloud cover that allows efficient daytime heating. Current conditions show temperatures climbing toward 25°C today under similar synoptic patterns, with ensemble guidance clustering tightly around 25–27°C and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader-implied odds favoring 26°C at 59.5% and 27°C at 34%, reflecting model consensus on modest warming above September climatological averages near 22–24°C while acknowledging small uncertainties from potential afternoon cloud increases or minor wind shifts that could cap or boost the peak by 1°C. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for this short-term market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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