Stable high-pressure conditions around 1022 hPa, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies have maintained mild overnight temperatures in Milan, positioning 17°C as the market's leading outcome at 80% implied probability. Official forecasts from multiple models project a minimum near 18°C during the early morning hours on September 13, consistent with seasonal norms for the Po Valley in mid-September where radiative cooling is moderated by humidity levels near 70-80%. Recent model consensus shows no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky extremes that would push readings to 15°C or below, keeping lower-probability outcomes like 14°C or colder below 10%. Updated guidance through the day will refine any minor deviations before final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Milan on September 13?
17°C 91%
11°C or below 12%
13°C 10%
12°C 9%
11°C or below
12%
12°C
9%
13°C
10%
14°C
9%
15°C
2%
16°C
9%
17°C
91%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 91%
11°C or below 12%
13°C 10%
12°C 9%
11°C or below
12%
12°C
9%
13°C
10%
14°C
9%
15°C
2%
16°C
9%
17°C
91%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure conditions around 1022 hPa, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies have maintained mild overnight temperatures in Milan, positioning 17°C as the market's leading outcome at 80% implied probability. Official forecasts from multiple models project a minimum near 18°C during the early morning hours on September 13, consistent with seasonal norms for the Po Valley in mid-September where radiative cooling is moderated by humidity levels near 70-80%. Recent model consensus shows no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky extremes that would push readings to 15°C or below, keeping lower-probability outcomes like 14°C or colder below 10%. Updated guidance through the day will refine any minor deviations before final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย