Recent forecast model consensus from GFS and European guidance positions 30–31°C as the leading outcomes for Madrid’s September 11 maximum, with clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure favoring strong daytime heating under low humidity. These conditions align with an above-normal late-summer pattern, where observed highs have recently exceeded seasonal averages near 27–28°C. Trader-implied probabilities reflect high confidence in this narrow range, as ensemble spreads remain tight and precipitation chances stay near zero. Updated runs from AEMET and global centers over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly if boundary-layer mixing or slight cloud increases alter the afternoon maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on September 11?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 11?
31°C 56%
30°C 40%
32°C 9%
29°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
5%
29°C
6%
30°C
40%
31°C
56%
32°C
9%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 56%
30°C 40%
32°C 9%
29°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
25°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
29°C
$19 ปริมาณ
6%
30°C
$253 ปริมาณ
40%
31°C
$882 ปริมาณ
56%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from GFS and European guidance positions 30–31°C as the leading outcomes for Madrid’s September 11 maximum, with clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure favoring strong daytime heating under low humidity. These conditions align with an above-normal late-summer pattern, where observed highs have recently exceeded seasonal averages near 27–28°C. Trader-implied probabilities reflect high confidence in this narrow range, as ensemble spreads remain tight and precipitation chances stay near zero. Updated runs from AEMET and global centers over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly if boundary-layer mixing or slight cloud increases alter the afternoon maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,154วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from GFS and European guidance positions 30–31°C as the leading outcomes for Madrid’s September 11 maximum, with clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure favoring strong daytime heating under low humidity. These conditions align with an above-normal late-summer pattern, where observed highs have recently exceeded seasonal averages near 27–28°C. Trader-implied probabilities reflect high confidence in this narrow range, as ensemble spreads remain tight and precipitation chances stay near zero. Updated runs from AEMET and global centers over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly if boundary-layer mixing or slight cloud increases alter the afternoon maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,154วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from GFS and European guidance positions 30–31°C as the leading outcomes for Madrid’s September 11 maximum, with clear skies, light southerly winds, and stable high pressure favoring strong daytime heating under low humidity. These conditions align with an above-normal late-summer pattern, where observed highs have recently exceeded seasonal averages near 27–28°C. Trader-implied probabilities reflect high confidence in this narrow range, as ensemble spreads remain tight and precipitation chances stay near zero. Updated runs from AEMET and global centers over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak, particularly if boundary-layer mixing or slight cloud increases alter the afternoon maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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