Recent forecasts from agencies including the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and international models indicate a cold front and associated precipitation system will suppress maximum temperatures in Chengdu on September 9, following recent highs above 33°C. Heavy rain and thunderstorms, with totals potentially reaching moderate to heavy levels, are expected to limit solar heating and keep the daily peak in the mid-20s Celsius range. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 26°C or 27°C as the most likely outcomes amid close trader consensus. Key variables include the precise timing of heaviest rainfall, cloud cover duration, and wind patterns from the north, which could shift the realized high by 1–2°C depending on model runs. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will refine these projections.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
26°C 32%
27°C 30%
25°C 16%
28°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
16%
26°C
32%
27°C
30%
28°C
12%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 32%
27°C 30%
25°C 16%
28°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
$30 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C
$156 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$330 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$512 ปริมาณ
8%
25°C
$696 ปริมาณ
16%
26°C
$496 ปริมาณ
32%
27°C
$1,077 ปริมาณ
30%
28°C
$528 ปริมาณ
12%
29°C
$460 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$262 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C or higher
$230 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and international models indicate a cold front and associated precipitation system will suppress maximum temperatures in Chengdu on September 9, following recent highs above 33°C. Heavy rain and thunderstorms, with totals potentially reaching moderate to heavy levels, are expected to limit solar heating and keep the daily peak in the mid-20s Celsius range. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 26°C or 27°C as the most likely outcomes amid close trader consensus. Key variables include the precise timing of heaviest rainfall, cloud cover duration, and wind patterns from the north, which could shift the realized high by 1–2°C depending on model runs. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will refine these projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,779วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and international models indicate a cold front and associated precipitation system will suppress maximum temperatures in Chengdu on September 9, following recent highs above 33°C. Heavy rain and thunderstorms, with totals potentially reaching moderate to heavy levels, are expected to limit solar heating and keep the daily peak in the mid-20s Celsius range. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 26°C or 27°C as the most likely outcomes amid close trader consensus. Key variables include the precise timing of heaviest rainfall, cloud cover duration, and wind patterns from the north, which could shift the realized high by 1–2°C depending on model runs. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will refine these projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,779วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and international models indicate a cold front and associated precipitation system will suppress maximum temperatures in Chengdu on September 9, following recent highs above 33°C. Heavy rain and thunderstorms, with totals potentially reaching moderate to heavy levels, are expected to limit solar heating and keep the daily peak in the mid-20s Celsius range. This aligns with market-implied odds favoring 26°C or 27°C as the most likely outcomes amid close trader consensus. Key variables include the precise timing of heaviest rainfall, cloud cover duration, and wind patterns from the north, which could shift the realized high by 1–2°C depending on model runs. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will refine these projections.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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