Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a warm, humid air mass over Toronto on September 9, with daytime highs near 23–26 °C and overnight lows expected around 18–20 °C amid showers and thunderstorms. This setup, driven by southwesterly flow and cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, positions the lowest temperature near the 18–21 °C range and supports elevated market-implied odds for outcomes at or above 20 °C. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential overnight, though scattered convection and possible wind shifts introduce uncertainty that could allow brief drops toward 17 °C or sustain milder minima above 22 °C. Updated guidance and any revised model runs through the day remain key variables for traders assessing resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Toronto on September 9?
14°C or below 81%
19°C 27%
17°C 27%
20°C 27%
14°C or below
81%
15°C
1%
16°C
25%
17°C
27%
18°C
13%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
14°C or below 81%
19°C 27%
17°C 27%
20°C 27%
14°C or below
81%
15°C
1%
16°C
25%
17°C
27%
18°C
13%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a warm, humid air mass over Toronto on September 9, with daytime highs near 23–26 °C and overnight lows expected around 18–20 °C amid showers and thunderstorms. This setup, driven by southwesterly flow and cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, positions the lowest temperature near the 18–21 °C range and supports elevated market-implied odds for outcomes at or above 20 °C. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential overnight, though scattered convection and possible wind shifts introduce uncertainty that could allow brief drops toward 17 °C or sustain milder minima above 22 °C. Updated guidance and any revised model runs through the day remain key variables for traders assessing resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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