Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a minimum temperature in the mid-70s°F for New York City on September 10, supported by a warm, humid southerly flow and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light showers possible. This aligns with the market's leading 74-75°F outcome at 29% implied probability. Differentiation among nearby bins stems from uncertainty in exact cloud cover, wind shifts, and precipitation timing that could modestly enhance or suppress overnight lows, while historical September averages near 63°F underscore the current anomalously warm pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on September 10?
67°F or below 48%
86°F or higher 47%
76-77°F 40%
74-75°F 29%
67°F or below
48%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
23%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
19%
86°F or higher
47%
67°F or below 48%
86°F or higher 47%
76-77°F 40%
74-75°F 29%
67°F or below
48%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
23%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
19%
86°F or higher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate a minimum temperature in the mid-70s°F for New York City on September 10, supported by a warm, humid southerly flow and limited nocturnal radiational cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light showers possible. This aligns with the market's leading 74-75°F outcome at 29% implied probability. Differentiation among nearby bins stems from uncertainty in exact cloud cover, wind shifts, and precipitation timing that could modestly enhance or suppress overnight lows, while historical September averages near 63°F underscore the current anomalously warm pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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