**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Miami's overnight low on September 10, 2026, will likely settle in the lower 80s, aligning with the market's leading 80-81°F bin (43% implied probability) and 82-83°F range (27.5%).** High dew points near 78°F, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies are limiting radiational cooling under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, keeping the minimum well above the long-term average of about 77°F. Recent observations from Miami International Airport show temperatures holding in the low-to-mid 80s overnight with high humidity and scattered thunderstorm activity, consistent with seasonal patterns during peak Atlantic moisture. No significant cold front or unusual atmospheric setup is evident, supporting trader consensus around these warmer thresholds while allowing modest probability for slightly cooler outcomes if clearer skies develop. Updated NWS and model guidance through the evening will provide the final data influencing resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on September 10?
80-81°F 41%
82-83°F 38%
78-79°F 20%
74-75°F 8.4%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 41%
82-83°F 38%
78-79°F 20%
74-75°F 8.4%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Miami's overnight low on September 10, 2026, will likely settle in the lower 80s, aligning with the market's leading 80-81°F bin (43% implied probability) and 82-83°F range (27.5%).** High dew points near 78°F, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies are limiting radiational cooling under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, keeping the minimum well above the long-term average of about 77°F. Recent observations from Miami International Airport show temperatures holding in the low-to-mid 80s overnight with high humidity and scattered thunderstorm activity, consistent with seasonal patterns during peak Atlantic moisture. No significant cold front or unusual atmospheric setup is evident, supporting trader consensus around these warmer thresholds while allowing modest probability for slightly cooler outcomes if clearer skies develop. Updated NWS and model guidance through the evening will provide the final data influencing resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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