Persistent southerly flow and a warm, humid airmass are keeping overnight lows in Austin elevated, with official guidance and model consensus pointing to a minimum near 78°F on September 12 under mostly clear skies. Light south winds of 5–10 mph limit radiational cooling, while high dew points near 75°F suppress the temperature drop after sunset. Traders have clustered probabilities around 74–79°F because small differences in forecast timing of any thin cloud cover or minor wind shifts could shift the exact low by 2–3°F. No strong frontal passage is expected before the observation window closes, leaving the outcome sensitive to the precise strength of nocturnal mixing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Austin on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 12?
69°F or below 86%
72-73°F 39%
82-83°F 39%
84-85°F 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
69°F or below
86%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
17%
88°F or higher
3%
69°F or below 86%
72-73°F 39%
82-83°F 39%
84-85°F 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
69°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
86%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
72-73°F
$42 ปริมาณ
39%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
82-83°F
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
84-85°F
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
86-87°F
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
88°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and a warm, humid airmass are keeping overnight lows in Austin elevated, with official guidance and model consensus pointing to a minimum near 78°F on September 12 under mostly clear skies. Light south winds of 5–10 mph limit radiational cooling, while high dew points near 75°F suppress the temperature drop after sunset. Traders have clustered probabilities around 74–79°F because small differences in forecast timing of any thin cloud cover or minor wind shifts could shift the exact low by 2–3°F. No strong frontal passage is expected before the observation window closes, leaving the outcome sensitive to the precise strength of nocturnal mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and a warm, humid airmass are keeping overnight lows in Austin elevated, with official guidance and model consensus pointing to a minimum near 78°F on September 12 under mostly clear skies. Light south winds of 5–10 mph limit radiational cooling, while high dew points near 75°F suppress the temperature drop after sunset. Traders have clustered probabilities around 74–79°F because small differences in forecast timing of any thin cloud cover or minor wind shifts could shift the exact low by 2–3°F. No strong frontal passage is expected before the observation window closes, leaving the outcome sensitive to the precise strength of nocturnal mixing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southerly flow and a warm, humid airmass are keeping overnight lows in Austin elevated, with official guidance and model consensus pointing to a minimum near 78°F on September 12 under mostly clear skies. Light south winds of 5–10 mph limit radiational cooling, while high dew points near 75°F suppress the temperature drop after sunset. Traders have clustered probabilities around 74–79°F because small differences in forecast timing of any thin cloud cover or minor wind shifts could shift the exact low by 2–3°F. No strong frontal passage is expected before the observation window closes, leaving the outcome sensitive to the precise strength of nocturnal mixing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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