Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 27–32°C for September 7, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers and light winds, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 31°C or 32°C. A developing El Niño event and elevated regional sea-surface temperatures support above-normal warmth, while variable cloud cover and shower timing introduce uncertainty between these thresholds by modulating solar heating and evaporative cooling. Historical September maxima average near 31°C, but current anticyclonic influence aloft and minimal northerly advection keep values clustered near the upper end of the daily normal. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will refine the exact peak before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 7?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 7?
32°C 38%
31°C 36%
30°C 20%
29°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 7, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
16%
30°C
20%
31°C
36%
32°C
38%
33°C
6%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
7%
32°C 38%
31°C 36%
30°C 20%
29°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 7, 2026
25°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
32°C
$8 ปริมาณ
38%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
35°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 27–32°C for September 7, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers and light winds, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 31°C or 32°C. A developing El Niño event and elevated regional sea-surface temperatures support above-normal warmth, while variable cloud cover and shower timing introduce uncertainty between these thresholds by modulating solar heating and evaporative cooling. Historical September maxima average near 31°C, but current anticyclonic influence aloft and minimal northerly advection keep values clustered near the upper end of the daily normal. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 27–32°C for September 7, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers and light winds, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 31°C or 32°C. A developing El Niño event and elevated regional sea-surface temperatures support above-normal warmth, while variable cloud cover and shower timing introduce uncertainty between these thresholds by modulating solar heating and evaporative cooling. Historical September maxima average near 31°C, but current anticyclonic influence aloft and minimal northerly advection keep values clustered near the upper end of the daily normal. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 27–32°C for September 7, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers and light winds, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 31°C or 32°C. A developing El Niño event and elevated regional sea-surface temperatures support above-normal warmth, while variable cloud cover and shower timing introduce uncertainty between these thresholds by modulating solar heating and evaporative cooling. Historical September maxima average near 31°C, but current anticyclonic influence aloft and minimal northerly advection keep values clustered near the upper end of the daily normal. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will refine the exact peak before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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