**Forecast consensus points to a peak of 37–38 °C on September 7 as the most probable outcome, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities.** Recent model runs and station observations show Chongqing under clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly flow, allowing daytime heating to reach the upper 30s °C after several consecutive days of 34–36 °C highs. September climatology places the long-term average high near 28–29 °C, but the current warm anomaly—driven by a strong subtropical ridge and minimal cloud cover or rainfall—is supporting elevated readings before a cooler, moister air mass arrives later in the week. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and ensemble spreads indicate low odds of exceeding 39 °C or dropping below 36 °C, aligning with trader pricing that assigns roughly 71 % combined probability to 37–38 °C while leaving modest room for model shifts or localized variations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 7?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 7?
37°C 47%
38°C 25%
36°C 20%
34°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 7, 2026
32°C or below
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
13%
35°C
9%
36°C
20%
37°C
47%
38°C
25%
39°C
10%
40°C
9%
41°C
3%
42°C or higher
3%
37°C 47%
38°C 25%
36°C 20%
34°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 7, 2026
32°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
35°C
$2 ปริมาณ
9%
36°C
$6 ปริมาณ
20%
37°C
$24 ปริมาณ
47%
38°C
$58 ปริมาณ
25%
39°C
$5 ปริมาณ
10%
40°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
41°C
$8 ปริมาณ
3%
42°C or higher
$17 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a peak of 37–38 °C on September 7 as the most probable outcome, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities.** Recent model runs and station observations show Chongqing under clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly flow, allowing daytime heating to reach the upper 30s °C after several consecutive days of 34–36 °C highs. September climatology places the long-term average high near 28–29 °C, but the current warm anomaly—driven by a strong subtropical ridge and minimal cloud cover or rainfall—is supporting elevated readings before a cooler, moister air mass arrives later in the week. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and ensemble spreads indicate low odds of exceeding 39 °C or dropping below 36 °C, aligning with trader pricing that assigns roughly 71 % combined probability to 37–38 °C while leaving modest room for model shifts or localized variations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$120วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a peak of 37–38 °C on September 7 as the most probable outcome, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities.** Recent model runs and station observations show Chongqing under clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly flow, allowing daytime heating to reach the upper 30s °C after several consecutive days of 34–36 °C highs. September climatology places the long-term average high near 28–29 °C, but the current warm anomaly—driven by a strong subtropical ridge and minimal cloud cover or rainfall—is supporting elevated readings before a cooler, moister air mass arrives later in the week. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and ensemble spreads indicate low odds of exceeding 39 °C or dropping below 36 °C, aligning with trader pricing that assigns roughly 71 % combined probability to 37–38 °C while leaving modest room for model shifts or localized variations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$120วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus points to a peak of 37–38 °C on September 7 as the most probable outcome, consistent with the market’s leading probabilities.** Recent model runs and station observations show Chongqing under clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly flow, allowing daytime heating to reach the upper 30s °C after several consecutive days of 34–36 °C highs. September climatology places the long-term average high near 28–29 °C, but the current warm anomaly—driven by a strong subtropical ridge and minimal cloud cover or rainfall—is supporting elevated readings before a cooler, moister air mass arrives later in the week. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and ensemble spreads indicate low odds of exceeding 39 °C or dropping below 36 °C, aligning with trader pricing that assigns roughly 71 % combined probability to 37–38 °C while leaving modest room for model shifts or localized variations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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