Recent tropical cyclone Saudel and lingering northeast monsoon influences have introduced significant uncertainty into Hong Kong's September 5 maximum temperature outlook, with official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory projecting a range of 26–31°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while model consensus on rain timing and intensity remains divided, supporting the evenly matched market-implied odds around 28–31°C. Continental airstream improvements later in the period could allow slightly higher peaks if showers diminish, though historical early-September baselines near 30–31°C provide context for the narrow spread. Updated HKO guidance and refined model runs over the next 48 hours represent key catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 5?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 5?
29°C 37%
30°C 37%
31°C 31%
28°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 5, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
16%
29°C
37%
30°C
37%
31°C
31%
32°C
6%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 37%
30°C 37%
31°C 31%
28°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 5, 2026
24°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
31%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
34°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent tropical cyclone Saudel and lingering northeast monsoon influences have introduced significant uncertainty into Hong Kong's September 5 maximum temperature outlook, with official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory projecting a range of 26–31°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while model consensus on rain timing and intensity remains divided, supporting the evenly matched market-implied odds around 28–31°C. Continental airstream improvements later in the period could allow slightly higher peaks if showers diminish, though historical early-September baselines near 30–31°C provide context for the narrow spread. Updated HKO guidance and refined model runs over the next 48 hours represent key catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent tropical cyclone Saudel and lingering northeast monsoon influences have introduced significant uncertainty into Hong Kong's September 5 maximum temperature outlook, with official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory projecting a range of 26–31°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while model consensus on rain timing and intensity remains divided, supporting the evenly matched market-implied odds around 28–31°C. Continental airstream improvements later in the period could allow slightly higher peaks if showers diminish, though historical early-September baselines near 30–31°C provide context for the narrow spread. Updated HKO guidance and refined model runs over the next 48 hours represent key catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent tropical cyclone Saudel and lingering northeast monsoon influences have introduced significant uncertainty into Hong Kong's September 5 maximum temperature outlook, with official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory projecting a range of 26–31°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while model consensus on rain timing and intensity remains divided, supporting the evenly matched market-implied odds around 28–31°C. Continental airstream improvements later in the period could allow slightly higher peaks if showers diminish, though historical early-September baselines near 30–31°C provide context for the narrow spread. Updated HKO guidance and refined model runs over the next 48 hours represent key catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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