**Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple models point to an overnight low on September 5 in the narrow 25–27°C range, with the market split almost evenly between 26°C (47%) and 27°C (40%).** Persistent weak west-to-southwest winds, high humidity (often 70–90%), and variable cloud cover limit radiational cooling overnight. Recent showers and the influence of broad cloud bands from residual tropical activity have kept daytime highs near 30–31°C and prevented stronger nighttime drops. Official outlooks list the September 5 minimum near 26–27°C, consistent with climatological norms for early September in the region. Model consensus is tight because steering patterns and moisture levels show little change through the weekend, leaving only small differences in how much the temperature falls before sunrise. Updated HKO guidance and overnight observations will be the key near-term drivers for any final market shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 5?
26°C 50%
27°C 39%
25°C 9%
28°C 4%
ใหม่
$11,965 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,965 ปริมาณ
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
9%
26°C
50%
27°C
39%
28°C
4%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 50%
27°C 39%
25°C 9%
28°C 4%
ใหม่
$11,965 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,965 ปริมาณ
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
$140 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$130 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$140 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$670 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$1,020 ปริมาณ
3%
25°C
$1,869 ปริมาณ
9%
26°C
$3,477 ปริมาณ
50%
27°C
$3,387 ปริมาณ
39%
28°C
$732 ปริมาณ
4%
29°C
$140 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$261 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple models point to an overnight low on September 5 in the narrow 25–27°C range, with the market split almost evenly between 26°C (47%) and 27°C (40%).**
Persistent weak west-to-southwest winds, high humidity (often 70–90%), and variable cloud cover limit radiational cooling overnight. Recent showers and the influence of broad cloud bands from residual tropical activity have kept daytime highs near 30–31°C and prevented stronger nighttime drops. Official outlooks list the September 5 minimum near 26–27°C, consistent with climatological norms for early September in the region.
Model consensus is tight because steering patterns and moisture levels show little change through the weekend, leaving only small differences in how much the temperature falls before sunrise. Updated HKO guidance and overnight observations will be the key near-term drivers for any final market shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,965วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple models point to an overnight low on September 5 in the narrow 25–27°C range, with the market split almost evenly between 26°C (47%) and 27°C (40%).**
Persistent weak west-to-southwest winds, high humidity (often 70–90%), and variable cloud cover limit radiational cooling overnight. Recent showers and the influence of broad cloud bands from residual tropical activity have kept daytime highs near 30–31°C and prevented stronger nighttime drops. Official outlooks list the September 5 minimum near 26–27°C, consistent with climatological norms for early September in the region.
Model consensus is tight because steering patterns and moisture levels show little change through the weekend, leaving only small differences in how much the temperature falls before sunrise. Updated HKO guidance and overnight observations will be the key near-term drivers for any final market shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,965วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple models point to an overnight low on September 5 in the narrow 25–27°C range, with the market split almost evenly between 26°C (47%) and 27°C (40%).** Persistent weak west-to-southwest winds, high humidity (often 70–90%), and variable cloud cover limit radiational cooling overnight. Recent showers and the influence of broad cloud bands from residual tropical activity have kept daytime highs near 30–31°C and prevented stronger nighttime drops. Official outlooks list the September 5 minimum near 26–27°C, consistent with climatological norms for early September in the region. Model consensus is tight because steering patterns and moisture levels show little change through the weekend, leaving only small differences in how much the temperature falls before sunrise. Updated HKO guidance and overnight observations will be the key near-term drivers for any final market shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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