Latest forecasts from European and global models place Warsaw’s September 9 maximum near 28–30 °C under southerly flow that advects warmer air ahead of an approaching front. Current conditions show surface temperatures already climbing through the mid-20s with dew points in the mid-teens, supporting modest further warming before scattered afternoon clouds and light showers develop. Model consensus clusters tightly around 28–29 °C, with small differences arising from the precise timing and coverage of increasing mid-level moisture and the strength of the southwesterly gradient. Trader positioning mirrors this narrow spread, assigning the highest implied probability to 29 °C while still pricing meaningful outcomes at 28 °C and 30 °C. Official observations from the Chopin station will determine the exact daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 9?
29°C 34%
30°C 27%
28°C 23%
31°C 11%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
23%
29°C
34%
30°C
27%
31°C
11%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34%
30°C 27%
28°C 23%
31°C 11%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
23%
29°C
34%
30°C
27%
31°C
11%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from European and global models place Warsaw’s September 9 maximum near 28–30 °C under southerly flow that advects warmer air ahead of an approaching front. Current conditions show surface temperatures already climbing through the mid-20s with dew points in the mid-teens, supporting modest further warming before scattered afternoon clouds and light showers develop. Model consensus clusters tightly around 28–29 °C, with small differences arising from the precise timing and coverage of increasing mid-level moisture and the strength of the southwesterly gradient. Trader positioning mirrors this narrow spread, assigning the highest implied probability to 29 °C while still pricing meaningful outcomes at 28 °C and 30 °C. Official observations from the Chopin station will determine the exact daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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