Current model consensus from sources including GFS and European ensembles indicates a mostly cloudy day in Munich on September 11 with light westerly winds, supporting a daily maximum near 19°C. This aligns with the historical average high of 20.3°C and limited daytime heating under persistent cloud cover that reduces solar radiation. Slight differences among outcomes around 19–20°C hinge on variables such as the exact timing of any afternoon clearing, boundary-layer mixing, and minor model spread in temperature advection. With probabilities tightly clustered, traders are weighting the narrow range of ensemble outputs and the low chance of significant deviation given stable synoptic conditions. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will refine the precise peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on September 11?
21°C or higher 41%
20°C 31%
19°C 16%
18°C 10%
$10,413 ปริมาณ
$10,413 ปริมาณ
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
4%
17°C
3%
18°C
10%
19°C
16%
20°C
31%
21°C or higher
41%
21°C or higher 41%
20°C 31%
19°C 16%
18°C 10%
$10,413 ปริมาณ
$10,413 ปริมาณ
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
4%
17°C
3%
18°C
10%
19°C
16%
20°C
31%
21°C or higher
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from sources including GFS and European ensembles indicates a mostly cloudy day in Munich on September 11 with light westerly winds, supporting a daily maximum near 19°C. This aligns with the historical average high of 20.3°C and limited daytime heating under persistent cloud cover that reduces solar radiation. Slight differences among outcomes around 19–20°C hinge on variables such as the exact timing of any afternoon clearing, boundary-layer mixing, and minor model spread in temperature advection. With probabilities tightly clustered, traders are weighting the narrow range of ensemble outputs and the low chance of significant deviation given stable synoptic conditions. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will refine the precise peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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