Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 11, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with light northwest winds, low cloud cover, and minimal precipitation expected. This consensus aligns with the market’s strong preference for 32°C, as recent runs show highs stabilizing around 30–31°C amid seasonal norms where daily maxima average near 29–30°C. Minor variations in model timing or localized heating could shift the exact peak by 1°C, supporting the secondary probability on 31°C, while stronger winds or increased humidity would likely cap readings below 33°C. Updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble outputs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 11?
32°C 69%
31°C 17%
34°C 16%
30°C 10%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
17%
32°C
69%
33°C
10%
34°C
16%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
32°C 69%
31°C 17%
34°C 16%
30°C 10%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
17%
32°C
69%
33°C
10%
34°C
16%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature near 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 11, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with light northwest winds, low cloud cover, and minimal precipitation expected. This consensus aligns with the market’s strong preference for 32°C, as recent runs show highs stabilizing around 30–31°C amid seasonal norms where daily maxima average near 29–30°C. Minor variations in model timing or localized heating could shift the exact peak by 1°C, supporting the secondary probability on 31°C, while stronger winds or increased humidity would likely cap readings below 33°C. Updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ensemble outputs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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