Recent official and ensemble forecasts for Guangzhou on September 9 center on a daily maximum of 34–35 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow and possible late-day showers. This consensus, consistent across multiple numerical models and aligned with the 32.5 °C September climatological average plus recent 35 °C readings on September 8, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 35 °C (48 %) and 34 °C (26.5 %). Minor model spread on boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover leaves room for a 36 °C outlier (18.5 %), while probabilities below 33 °C remain low given the established warm ridge and lack of stronger cooling mechanisms in the short-term guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
35°C 48%
34°C 27%
36°C 19%
33°C 4%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
4%
34°C
27%
35°C
48%
36°C
19%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
35°C 48%
34°C 27%
36°C 19%
33°C 4%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
4%
34°C
27%
35°C
48%
36°C
19%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent official and ensemble forecasts for Guangzhou on September 9 center on a daily maximum of 34–35 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow and possible late-day showers. This consensus, consistent across multiple numerical models and aligned with the 32.5 °C September climatological average plus recent 35 °C readings on September 8, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 35 °C (48 %) and 34 °C (26.5 %). Minor model spread on boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover leaves room for a 36 °C outlier (18.5 %), while probabilities below 33 °C remain low given the established warm ridge and lack of stronger cooling mechanisms in the short-term guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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