**Persistent hot, dry conditions under high pressure drove overnight lows in Dallas to the 80–81°F range on September 11, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 51.5% implied probability for that bin.** Official and station data from Dallas Love Field/DFW show a minimum of 81°F that night, with daytime highs reaching 100°F amid southerly winds and minimal cloud cover. Long-range high pressure, a 57-day dry spell at DFW, and the absence of any frontal passage prevented significant radiational cooling, keeping dew points elevated and limiting overnight drops. Historical September averages for the date are near 72°F, but 2026’s fifth-driest and eighth-hottest summer on record reinforced the warm baseline. Forecasts issued on the day consistently projected lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, with limited model spread, which concentrated trader consensus on the 80–81°F outcome while assigning low probability to cooler bins. Official minimum readings are typically confirmed within 24–48 hours, supporting the current market positioning ahead of final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Dallas on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on September 11?
80-81°F 98%
78-79°F 32%
74-75°F 9.8%
76-77°F 6.0%
$922 ปริมาณ
$922 ปริมาณ
Sep 11, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
98%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 98%
78-79°F 32%
74-75°F 9.8%
76-77°F 6.0%
$922 ปริมาณ
$922 ปริมาณ
Sep 11, 2026
71°F or below
$50 ปริมาณ
1%
72-73°F
$90 ปริมาณ
5%
74-75°F
$231 ปริมาณ
10%
76-77°F
$180 ปริมาณ
6%
78-79°F
$56 ปริมาณ
32%
80-81°F
$7 ปริมาณ
98%
82-83°F
$248 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$50 ปริมาณ
<1%
86-87°F
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
88-89°F
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
90°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent hot, dry conditions under high pressure drove overnight lows in Dallas to the 80–81°F range on September 11, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 51.5% implied probability for that bin.**
Official and station data from Dallas Love Field/DFW show a minimum of 81°F that night, with daytime highs reaching 100°F amid southerly winds and minimal cloud cover. Long-range high pressure, a 57-day dry spell at DFW, and the absence of any frontal passage prevented significant radiational cooling, keeping dew points elevated and limiting overnight drops. Historical September averages for the date are near 72°F, but 2026’s fifth-driest and eighth-hottest summer on record reinforced the warm baseline. Forecasts issued on the day consistently projected lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, with limited model spread, which concentrated trader consensus on the 80–81°F outcome while assigning low probability to cooler bins. Official minimum readings are typically confirmed within 24–48 hours, supporting the current market positioning ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$922วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent hot, dry conditions under high pressure drove overnight lows in Dallas to the 80–81°F range on September 11, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 51.5% implied probability for that bin.**
Official and station data from Dallas Love Field/DFW show a minimum of 81°F that night, with daytime highs reaching 100°F amid southerly winds and minimal cloud cover. Long-range high pressure, a 57-day dry spell at DFW, and the absence of any frontal passage prevented significant radiational cooling, keeping dew points elevated and limiting overnight drops. Historical September averages for the date are near 72°F, but 2026’s fifth-driest and eighth-hottest summer on record reinforced the warm baseline. Forecasts issued on the day consistently projected lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, with limited model spread, which concentrated trader consensus on the 80–81°F outcome while assigning low probability to cooler bins. Official minimum readings are typically confirmed within 24–48 hours, supporting the current market positioning ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$922วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent hot, dry conditions under high pressure drove overnight lows in Dallas to the 80–81°F range on September 11, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 51.5% implied probability for that bin.** Official and station data from Dallas Love Field/DFW show a minimum of 81°F that night, with daytime highs reaching 100°F amid southerly winds and minimal cloud cover. Long-range high pressure, a 57-day dry spell at DFW, and the absence of any frontal passage prevented significant radiational cooling, keeping dew points elevated and limiting overnight drops. Historical September averages for the date are near 72°F, but 2026’s fifth-driest and eighth-hottest summer on record reinforced the warm baseline. Forecasts issued on the day consistently projected lows in the upper 70s to low 80s, with limited model spread, which concentrated trader consensus on the 80–81°F outcome while assigning low probability to cooler bins. Official minimum readings are typically confirmed within 24–48 hours, supporting the current market positioning ahead of final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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