Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C at Buenos Aires' Ministro Pistarini International Airport (SAEZ) on May 1, 2026, backed by official observational data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). Hourly measurements confirmed a midday peak of 24°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, aligning precisely with short-range forecasts from SMN and global models like GFS, which projected 22–25°C amid light northerly winds. This mild autumn reading fits seasonal norms, where May highs average 18–20°C but vary with synoptic patterns. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-observation, include rare SMN data revisions from quality control or station metadata discrepancies, with final resolution pending official bulletin release.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 1?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 1?
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$78,705 ปริมาณ
$78,705 ปริมาณ
May 1, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$78,705 ปริมาณ
$78,705 ปริมาณ
May 1, 2026
16°C or below
$2,042 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$4,320 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$6,766 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$5,648 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$10,406 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$8,321 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$4,913 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$7,612 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$8,315 ปริมาณ
Yes
25°C
$9,784 ปริมาณ
No
26°C or higher
$10,578 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C at Buenos Aires' Ministro Pistarini International Airport (SAEZ) on May 1, 2026, backed by official observational data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). Hourly measurements confirmed a midday peak of 24°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, aligning precisely with short-range forecasts from SMN and global models like GFS, which projected 22–25°C amid light northerly winds. This mild autumn reading fits seasonal norms, where May highs average 18–20°C but vary with synoptic patterns. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-observation, include rare SMN data revisions from quality control or station metadata discrepancies, with final resolution pending official bulletin release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$78,705วันสิ้นสุด
May 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C at Buenos Aires' Ministro Pistarini International Airport (SAEZ) on May 1, 2026, backed by official observational data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). Hourly measurements confirmed a midday peak of 24°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, aligning precisely with short-range forecasts from SMN and global models like GFS, which projected 22–25°C amid light northerly winds. This mild autumn reading fits seasonal norms, where May highs average 18–20°C but vary with synoptic patterns. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-observation, include rare SMN data revisions from quality control or station metadata discrepancies, with final resolution pending official bulletin release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$78,705วันสิ้นสุด
May 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 24°C at Buenos Aires' Ministro Pistarini International Airport (SAEZ) on May 1, 2026, backed by official observational data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN). Hourly measurements confirmed a midday peak of 24°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, aligning precisely with short-range forecasts from SMN and global models like GFS, which projected 22–25°C amid light northerly winds. This mild autumn reading fits seasonal norms, where May highs average 18–20°C but vary with synoptic patterns. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-observation, include rare SMN data revisions from quality control or station metadata discrepancies, with final resolution pending official bulletin release.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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