Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daytime high in the mid-to-upper 80s for Chicago on August 16, driven by southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and absence of a strong frontal passage. Normal highs for the date average near 83°F, so current conditions support modest above-normal readings without extreme heat advection. Updated short-range forecasts from NWS Chicago and ensemble runs have stabilized around this range, reinforcing trader consensus on the 86-87°F bin at 48% implied probability while keeping 84-85°F and 88-89°F as viable alternatives at 26.5% and 20.5%. Resolution hinges on official observations from Chicago O’Hare or Midway, with any late-day cooling or unexpected convection capable of shifting the peak downward.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on August 16?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 16?
86-87°F 48%
84-85°F 27%
88-89°F 22%
82-83°F 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
48%
88-89°F
22%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 48%
84-85°F 27%
88-89°F 22%
82-83°F 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
77°F or below
$779 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$96 ปริมาณ
1%
80-81°F
$168 ปริมาณ
2%
82-83°F
$352 ปริมาณ
4%
84-85°F
$712 ปริมาณ
27%
86-87°F
$297 ปริมาณ
48%
88-89°F
$493 ปริมาณ
22%
90-91°F
$991 ปริมาณ
2%
92-93°F
$111 ปริมาณ
<1%
94-95°F
$237 ปริมาณ
<1%
96°F or higher
$286 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daytime high in the mid-to-upper 80s for Chicago on August 16, driven by southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and absence of a strong frontal passage. Normal highs for the date average near 83°F, so current conditions support modest above-normal readings without extreme heat advection. Updated short-range forecasts from NWS Chicago and ensemble runs have stabilized around this range, reinforcing trader consensus on the 86-87°F bin at 48% implied probability while keeping 84-85°F and 88-89°F as viable alternatives at 26.5% and 20.5%. Resolution hinges on official observations from Chicago O’Hare or Midway, with any late-day cooling or unexpected convection capable of shifting the peak downward.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,522วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daytime high in the mid-to-upper 80s for Chicago on August 16, driven by southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and absence of a strong frontal passage. Normal highs for the date average near 83°F, so current conditions support modest above-normal readings without extreme heat advection. Updated short-range forecasts from NWS Chicago and ensemble runs have stabilized around this range, reinforcing trader consensus on the 86-87°F bin at 48% implied probability while keeping 84-85°F and 88-89°F as viable alternatives at 26.5% and 20.5%. Resolution hinges on official observations from Chicago O’Hare or Midway, with any late-day cooling or unexpected convection capable of shifting the peak downward.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,522วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daytime high in the mid-to-upper 80s for Chicago on August 16, driven by southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and absence of a strong frontal passage. Normal highs for the date average near 83°F, so current conditions support modest above-normal readings without extreme heat advection. Updated short-range forecasts from NWS Chicago and ensemble runs have stabilized around this range, reinforcing trader consensus on the 86-87°F bin at 48% implied probability while keeping 84-85°F and 88-89°F as viable alternatives at 26.5% and 20.5%. Resolution hinges on official observations from Chicago O’Hare or Midway, with any late-day cooling or unexpected convection capable of shifting the peak downward.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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