Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chongqing on May 7, backed by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest 20:00 update forecasting exactly that under overcast skies, light rain, and light northeast winds suppressing daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Observational data from Jiangbei International Airport station show morning readings around 20-21°C amid 70% cloud cover, with no significant clearing to drive further warming beyond the projected peak, consistent with frontal system moderation from prior hotter days like May 5's 31°C high. May climatology averages 27°C highs, but current low-level moisture reinforces the cap; final hourly CMA records expected post-midnight could confirm, though late-day cooling makes upward revision unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 7?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 7?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$64,057 ปริมาณ
$64,057 ปริมาณ
May 7, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$64,057 ปริมาณ
$64,057 ปริมาณ
May 7, 2026
16°C or below
$520 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$2,533 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$1,006 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$4,563 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$4,449 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$3,257 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$4,099 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$3,584 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$7,570 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$16,305 ปริมาณ
Yes
26°C or higher
$16,172 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chongqing on May 7, backed by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest 20:00 update forecasting exactly that under overcast skies, light rain, and light northeast winds suppressing daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Observational data from Jiangbei International Airport station show morning readings around 20-21°C amid 70% cloud cover, with no significant clearing to drive further warming beyond the projected peak, consistent with frontal system moderation from prior hotter days like May 5's 31°C high. May climatology averages 27°C highs, but current low-level moisture reinforces the cap; final hourly CMA records expected post-midnight could confirm, though late-day cooling makes upward revision unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 5, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$64,057วันสิ้นสุด
May 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 12:47 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chongqing on May 7, backed by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest 20:00 update forecasting exactly that under overcast skies, light rain, and light northeast winds suppressing daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Observational data from Jiangbei International Airport station show morning readings around 20-21°C amid 70% cloud cover, with no significant clearing to drive further warming beyond the projected peak, consistent with frontal system moderation from prior hotter days like May 5's 31°C high. May climatology averages 27°C highs, but current low-level moisture reinforces the cap; final hourly CMA records expected post-midnight could confirm, though late-day cooling makes upward revision unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$64,057วันสิ้นสุด
May 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 12:47 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain implied probability to a highest temperature of 25°C in Chongqing on May 7, backed by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest 20:00 update forecasting exactly that under overcast skies, light rain, and light northeast winds suppressing daytime heating via reduced solar insolation. Observational data from Jiangbei International Airport station show morning readings around 20-21°C amid 70% cloud cover, with no significant clearing to drive further warming beyond the projected peak, consistent with frontal system moderation from prior hotter days like May 5's 31°C high. May climatology averages 27°C highs, but current low-level moisture reinforces the cap; final hourly CMA records expected post-midnight could confirm, though late-day cooling makes upward revision unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย