The Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 34.6°C at its headquarters on June 5, 2026, confirming the outcome within the 34°C market bin. This aligned with an ongoing early-summer heatwave driven by an anticyclone aloft and above-normal seasonal temperatures forecast for June–August under long-term climate warming trends. Official data show mean maximum temperatures reaching 33.0°C early in the month, consistent with the absolute maximum of 34.6°C noted through June 7. The 100% market-implied probability reflects the final verified observation, though minor variations in station-specific readings or rounding conventions could theoretically shift categorization in edge cases.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 5?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 5?
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$246,630 ปริมาณ
$246,630 ปริมาณ
Jun 5, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$246,630 ปริมาณ
$246,630 ปริมาณ
Jun 5, 2026
26°C or below
$1,292 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$287 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$3,097 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$10,356 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$14,200 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$28,852 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$20,743 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$37,821 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$45,873 ปริมาณ
Yes
35°C
$37,392 ปริมาณ
No
36°C or higher
$46,716 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 34.6°C at its headquarters on June 5, 2026, confirming the outcome within the 34°C market bin. This aligned with an ongoing early-summer heatwave driven by an anticyclone aloft and above-normal seasonal temperatures forecast for June–August under long-term climate warming trends. Official data show mean maximum temperatures reaching 33.0°C early in the month, consistent with the absolute maximum of 34.6°C noted through June 7. The 100% market-implied probability reflects the final verified observation, though minor variations in station-specific readings or rounding conventions could theoretically shift categorization in edge cases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 3, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$246,630วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 3, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 34.6°C at its headquarters on June 5, 2026, confirming the outcome within the 34°C market bin. This aligned with an ongoing early-summer heatwave driven by an anticyclone aloft and above-normal seasonal temperatures forecast for June–August under long-term climate warming trends. Official data show mean maximum temperatures reaching 33.0°C early in the month, consistent with the absolute maximum of 34.6°C noted through June 7. The 100% market-implied probability reflects the final verified observation, though minor variations in station-specific readings or rounding conventions could theoretically shift categorization in edge cases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$246,630วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 3, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 34.6°C at its headquarters on June 5, 2026, confirming the outcome within the 34°C market bin. This aligned with an ongoing early-summer heatwave driven by an anticyclone aloft and above-normal seasonal temperatures forecast for June–August under long-term climate warming trends. Official data show mean maximum temperatures reaching 33.0°C early in the month, consistent with the absolute maximum of 34.6°C noted through June 7. The 100% market-implied probability reflects the final verified observation, though minor variations in station-specific readings or rounding conventions could theoretically shift categorization in edge cases.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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