Recent official observations confirm Hong Kong reached a daily maximum of 32°C on June 7, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. This aligns with early-summer subtropical patterns, where daytime highs typically range from 30–33°C under prevailing southwesterly flow and high humidity. Long-term climatology from the Hong Kong Observatory shows average June maxima near 31°C, with 32°C falling comfortably within normal variability rather than an extreme outlier. Forecast models from regional agencies converged on this range ahead of the date, and post-event verification leaves little room for revision. Only an unprecedented data correction or station-specific anomaly would realistically shift the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 7?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 7?
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$200,676 ปริมาณ
$200,676 ปริมาณ
Jun 7, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$200,676 ปริมาณ
$200,676 ปริมาณ
Jun 7, 2026
24°C or below
$2,230 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$3,895 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$9,111 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$15,388 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$22,053 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$17,115 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$16,718 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$21,619 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$49,140 ปริมาณ
Yes
33°C
$26,565 ปริมาณ
No
34°C or higher
$16,842 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official observations confirm Hong Kong reached a daily maximum of 32°C on June 7, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. This aligns with early-summer subtropical patterns, where daytime highs typically range from 30–33°C under prevailing southwesterly flow and high humidity. Long-term climatology from the Hong Kong Observatory shows average June maxima near 31°C, with 32°C falling comfortably within normal variability rather than an extreme outlier. Forecast models from regional agencies converged on this range ahead of the date, and post-event verification leaves little room for revision. Only an unprecedented data correction or station-specific anomaly would realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 6, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$200,676วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 6, 2026, 12:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official observations confirm Hong Kong reached a daily maximum of 32°C on June 7, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. This aligns with early-summer subtropical patterns, where daytime highs typically range from 30–33°C under prevailing southwesterly flow and high humidity. Long-term climatology from the Hong Kong Observatory shows average June maxima near 31°C, with 32°C falling comfortably within normal variability rather than an extreme outlier. Forecast models from regional agencies converged on this range ahead of the date, and post-event verification leaves little room for revision. Only an unprecedented data correction or station-specific anomaly would realistically shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$200,676วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 6, 2026, 12:49 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent official observations confirm Hong Kong reached a daily maximum of 32°C on June 7, driving the near-certain market-implied odds. This aligns with early-summer subtropical patterns, where daytime highs typically range from 30–33°C under prevailing southwesterly flow and high humidity. Long-term climatology from the Hong Kong Observatory shows average June maxima near 31°C, with 32°C falling comfortably within normal variability rather than an extreme outlier. Forecast models from regional agencies converged on this range ahead of the date, and post-event verification leaves little room for revision. Only an unprecedented data correction or station-specific anomaly would realistically shift the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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