The market's near-certain positioning on 30°C as Hong Kong's highest temperature for June 8 reflects the official maximum recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory, consistent with regional weather station data showing a peak of 29–30°C amid typical early-summer conditions. Forecasters from the Observatory and regional models anticipated this range due to a subtropical high-pressure system bringing clear skies and moderate humidity, aligning with climatological averages for the period without significant heatwave intensification or cooling fronts. Resolution hinges on the Observatory's standardized daily maximum at its primary site, with minimal model divergence in post-event verification. An unexpected data revision or alternate station reading exceeding 30°C remains the primary, though improbable, factor that could alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 8?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 8?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$346,342 ปริมาณ
$346,342 ปริมาณ
Jun 8, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$346,342 ปริมาณ
$346,342 ปริมาณ
Jun 8, 2026
24°C or below
$2,031 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$1,289 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$3,205 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$23,337 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$40,042 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$41,043 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$63,073 ปริมาณ
Yes
31°C
$62,733 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$58,977 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$36,151 ปริมาณ
No
34°C or higher
$14,461 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain positioning on 30°C as Hong Kong's highest temperature for June 8 reflects the official maximum recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory, consistent with regional weather station data showing a peak of 29–30°C amid typical early-summer conditions. Forecasters from the Observatory and regional models anticipated this range due to a subtropical high-pressure system bringing clear skies and moderate humidity, aligning with climatological averages for the period without significant heatwave intensification or cooling fronts. Resolution hinges on the Observatory's standardized daily maximum at its primary site, with minimal model divergence in post-event verification. An unexpected data revision or alternate station reading exceeding 30°C remains the primary, though improbable, factor that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 6, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$346,342วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 6, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain positioning on 30°C as Hong Kong's highest temperature for June 8 reflects the official maximum recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory, consistent with regional weather station data showing a peak of 29–30°C amid typical early-summer conditions. Forecasters from the Observatory and regional models anticipated this range due to a subtropical high-pressure system bringing clear skies and moderate humidity, aligning with climatological averages for the period without significant heatwave intensification or cooling fronts. Resolution hinges on the Observatory's standardized daily maximum at its primary site, with minimal model divergence in post-event verification. An unexpected data revision or alternate station reading exceeding 30°C remains the primary, though improbable, factor that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$346,342วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 6, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The market's near-certain positioning on 30°C as Hong Kong's highest temperature for June 8 reflects the official maximum recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory, consistent with regional weather station data showing a peak of 29–30°C amid typical early-summer conditions. Forecasters from the Observatory and regional models anticipated this range due to a subtropical high-pressure system bringing clear skies and moderate humidity, aligning with climatological averages for the period without significant heatwave intensification or cooling fronts. Resolution hinges on the Observatory's standardized daily maximum at its primary site, with minimal model divergence in post-event verification. An unexpected data revision or alternate station reading exceeding 30°C remains the primary, though improbable, factor that could alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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