The market-implied 100% odds on 32°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 30 stem directly from official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that daily maximum. Persistent very hot weather conditions, driven by regional atmospheric patterns and elevated humidity, aligned with model forecasts projecting a peak near this threshold rather than the seasonal average of roughly 28–29°C. Recent data releases from monitoring agencies reinforced this outcome with no significant downward revisions, while cooler monsoon influences remained too weak to alter the result. Minor scenarios such as localized measurement adjustments or unverified microclimate effects could theoretically shift the recorded value, but current observational consensus leaves little room for deviation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 30?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 30?
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$168,827 ปริมาณ
$168,827 ปริมาณ
May 30, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$168,827 ปริมาณ
$168,827 ปริมาณ
May 30, 2026
23°C or below
$4,276 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$1,306 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$441 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$1,223 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$6,673 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$11,244 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$24,434 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$13,804 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$34,422 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$32,671 ปริมาณ
Yes
33°C or higher
$38,333 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied 100% odds on 32°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 30 stem directly from official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that daily maximum. Persistent very hot weather conditions, driven by regional atmospheric patterns and elevated humidity, aligned with model forecasts projecting a peak near this threshold rather than the seasonal average of roughly 28–29°C. Recent data releases from monitoring agencies reinforced this outcome with no significant downward revisions, while cooler monsoon influences remained too weak to alter the result. Minor scenarios such as localized measurement adjustments or unverified microclimate effects could theoretically shift the recorded value, but current observational consensus leaves little room for deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 28, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$168,827วันสิ้นสุด
May 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 28, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied 100% odds on 32°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 30 stem directly from official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that daily maximum. Persistent very hot weather conditions, driven by regional atmospheric patterns and elevated humidity, aligned with model forecasts projecting a peak near this threshold rather than the seasonal average of roughly 28–29°C. Recent data releases from monitoring agencies reinforced this outcome with no significant downward revisions, while cooler monsoon influences remained too weak to alter the result. Minor scenarios such as localized measurement adjustments or unverified microclimate effects could theoretically shift the recorded value, but current observational consensus leaves little room for deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$168,827วันสิ้นสุด
May 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 28, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The market-implied 100% odds on 32°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on May 30 stem directly from official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that daily maximum. Persistent very hot weather conditions, driven by regional atmospheric patterns and elevated humidity, aligned with model forecasts projecting a peak near this threshold rather than the seasonal average of roughly 28–29°C. Recent data releases from monitoring agencies reinforced this outcome with no significant downward revisions, while cooler monsoon influences remained too weak to alter the result. Minor scenarios such as localized measurement adjustments or unverified microclimate effects could theoretically shift the recorded value, but current observational consensus leaves little room for deviation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย