Current medium-range forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF show the highest London temperature on July 17 most likely falling in the 26–28°C range, reflected in the market's concentrated but still dispersed odds around 27°C. Key variables include the evolving position of high pressure over northern Europe, which could draw warmer continental air masses northward, versus Atlantic troughs that favor cooler maritime flows and increased cloud cover. Model runs continue to diverge on jet stream placement and surface wind direction, with small shifts potentially tipping outcomes by 2–3°C. July climatology places typical maxima near 22–24°C, so any outcome above 29°C would require strong anticyclonic setup, while sub-25°C readings would signal an unusually strong northerly component. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this spread.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on July 17?
Highest temperature in London on July 17?
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$160,183 ปริมาณ
$160,183 ปริมาณ
Jul 17, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$160,183 ปริมาณ
$160,183 ปริมาณ
Jul 17, 2026
23°C or below
$4,004 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$4,493 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$16,586 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$25,880 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$39,041 ปริมาณ
Yes
28°C
$23,747 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$23,173 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$16,692 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$4,926 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$1,380 ปริมาณ
No
33°C or higher
$260 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current medium-range forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF show the highest London temperature on July 17 most likely falling in the 26–28°C range, reflected in the market's concentrated but still dispersed odds around 27°C. Key variables include the evolving position of high pressure over northern Europe, which could draw warmer continental air masses northward, versus Atlantic troughs that favor cooler maritime flows and increased cloud cover. Model runs continue to diverge on jet stream placement and surface wind direction, with small shifts potentially tipping outcomes by 2–3°C. July climatology places typical maxima near 22–24°C, so any outcome above 29°C would require strong anticyclonic setup, while sub-25°C readings would signal an unusually strong northerly component. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 15, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$160,183วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 15, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current medium-range forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF show the highest London temperature on July 17 most likely falling in the 26–28°C range, reflected in the market's concentrated but still dispersed odds around 27°C. Key variables include the evolving position of high pressure over northern Europe, which could draw warmer continental air masses northward, versus Atlantic troughs that favor cooler maritime flows and increased cloud cover. Model runs continue to diverge on jet stream placement and surface wind direction, with small shifts potentially tipping outcomes by 2–3°C. July climatology places typical maxima near 22–24°C, so any outcome above 29°C would require strong anticyclonic setup, while sub-25°C readings would signal an unusually strong northerly component. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$160,183วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 15, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current medium-range forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF show the highest London temperature on July 17 most likely falling in the 26–28°C range, reflected in the market's concentrated but still dispersed odds around 27°C. Key variables include the evolving position of high pressure over northern Europe, which could draw warmer continental air masses northward, versus Atlantic troughs that favor cooler maritime flows and increased cloud cover. Model runs continue to diverge on jet stream placement and surface wind direction, with small shifts potentially tipping outcomes by 2–3°C. July climatology places typical maxima near 22–24°C, so any outcome above 29°C would require strong anticyclonic setup, while sub-25°C readings would signal an unusually strong northerly component. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this spread.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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