Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on May 1, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's finalized climatological report confirming an observed maximum of 69°F, peaking midday amid partly cloudy skies. This outcome reflects classic "May Gray" conditions—persistent coastal marine layer and onshore west-southwest winds capping 14 mph—which suppressed warming consistent with NOAA model guidance and early May climatological normals of 69°F. While data revisions from quality control are theoretically possible, no discrepancies appear in preliminary Weather Underground archives or hourly observations (e.g., 68°F at 6 PM PDT), solidifying the resolution absent extraordinary measurement errors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 1?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 1?
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$50,850 ปริมาณ
$50,850 ปริมาณ
May 1, 2026
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$50,850 ปริมาณ
$50,850 ปริมาณ
May 1, 2026
53°F or below
$123 ปริมาณ
No
54-55°F
$122 ปริมาณ
No
56-57°F
$863 ปริมาณ
No
58-59°F
$479 ปริมาณ
No
60-61°F
$3,551 ปริมาณ
No
62-63°F
$3,727 ปริมาณ
No
64-65°F
$4,910 ปริมาณ
No
66-67°F
$8,347 ปริมาณ
No
68-69°F
$11,518 ปริมาณ
Yes
70-71°F
$8,356 ปริมาณ
No
72°F or higher
$8,854 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on May 1, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's finalized climatological report confirming an observed maximum of 69°F, peaking midday amid partly cloudy skies. This outcome reflects classic "May Gray" conditions—persistent coastal marine layer and onshore west-southwest winds capping 14 mph—which suppressed warming consistent with NOAA model guidance and early May climatological normals of 69°F. While data revisions from quality control are theoretically possible, no discrepancies appear in preliminary Weather Underground archives or hourly observations (e.g., 68°F at 6 PM PDT), solidifying the resolution absent extraordinary measurement errors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,850วันสิ้นสุด
May 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 12:36 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on May 1, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's finalized climatological report confirming an observed maximum of 69°F, peaking midday amid partly cloudy skies. This outcome reflects classic "May Gray" conditions—persistent coastal marine layer and onshore west-southwest winds capping 14 mph—which suppressed warming consistent with NOAA model guidance and early May climatological normals of 69°F. While data revisions from quality control are theoretically possible, no discrepancies appear in preliminary Weather Underground archives or hourly observations (e.g., 68°F at 6 PM PDT), solidifying the resolution absent extraordinary measurement errors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,850วันสิ้นสุด
May 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 12:36 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on May 1, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's finalized climatological report confirming an observed maximum of 69°F, peaking midday amid partly cloudy skies. This outcome reflects classic "May Gray" conditions—persistent coastal marine layer and onshore west-southwest winds capping 14 mph—which suppressed warming consistent with NOAA model guidance and early May climatological normals of 69°F. While data revisions from quality control are theoretically possible, no discrepancies appear in preliminary Weather Underground archives or hourly observations (e.g., 68°F at 6 PM PDT), solidifying the resolution absent extraordinary measurement errors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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