Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport station, driven by real-time hourly observations from the station peaking at around 25.5°C amid persistent clear skies and light winds that maximized solar heating. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs from the past 24 hours showed tight agreement on daytime highs near 25-26°C under a potent Azores-African anticyclone ridge, well above April climatological norms of 18-20°C. With evening cooling underway and no further intensification expected, official daily summaries from ARPA Lombardia or aviation METAR data are unlikely to revise higher, though a rare station microclimate anomaly could challenge this near-certainty before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on April 26?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 26?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$68,609 ปริมาณ
$68,609 ปริมาณ
Apr 26, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$68,609 ปริมาณ
$68,609 ปริมาณ
Apr 26, 2026
19°C or below
$909 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$1,033 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$2,858 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$2,870 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$4,636 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$8,469 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$18,654 ปริมาณ
Yes
26°C
$10,267 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$8,444 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$4,801 ปริมาณ
No
29°C or higher
$5,668 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport station, driven by real-time hourly observations from the station peaking at around 25.5°C amid persistent clear skies and light winds that maximized solar heating. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs from the past 24 hours showed tight agreement on daytime highs near 25-26°C under a potent Azores-African anticyclone ridge, well above April climatological norms of 18-20°C. With evening cooling underway and no further intensification expected, official daily summaries from ARPA Lombardia or aviation METAR data are unlikely to revise higher, though a rare station microclimate anomaly could challenge this near-certainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,609วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport station, driven by real-time hourly observations from the station peaking at around 25.5°C amid persistent clear skies and light winds that maximized solar heating. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs from the past 24 hours showed tight agreement on daytime highs near 25-26°C under a potent Azores-African anticyclone ridge, well above April climatological norms of 18-20°C. With evening cooling underway and no further intensification expected, official daily summaries from ARPA Lombardia or aviation METAR data are unlikely to revise higher, though a rare station microclimate anomaly could challenge this near-certainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,609วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport station, driven by real-time hourly observations from the station peaking at around 25.5°C amid persistent clear skies and light winds that maximized solar heating. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble model runs from the past 24 hours showed tight agreement on daytime highs near 25-26°C under a potent Azores-African anticyclone ridge, well above April climatological norms of 18-20°C. With evening cooling underway and no further intensification expected, official daily summaries from ARPA Lombardia or aviation METAR data are unlikely to revise higher, though a rare station microclimate anomaly could challenge this near-certainty before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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