Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) that Munich's highest temperature at the airport station (EDDM) on May 3 will reach 26°C or higher, driven by mid-afternoon observations already hitting 26°C under sunny skies and light winds, as reported by BBC Weather. Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles confirm daily highs of 26-27°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and fostering adiabatic warming—far exceeding early May climatological norms around 18°C. Realistic challenges include sudden marine inflow or unforecasted cloudiness capping peaks at 25°C, though strong model agreement and current data render this unlikely; final Wunderground readings will resolve post-midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on May 3?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 3?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$41,227 ปริมาณ
$41,227 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$41,227 ปริมาณ
$41,227 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
16°C or below
$2,251 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$2,270 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$1,319 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$1,479 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$1,559 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$2,557 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$2,198 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$4,631 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$6,498 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$8,339 ปริมาณ
No
26°C or higher
$8,127 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) that Munich's highest temperature at the airport station (EDDM) on May 3 will reach 26°C or higher, driven by mid-afternoon observations already hitting 26°C under sunny skies and light winds, as reported by BBC Weather. Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles confirm daily highs of 26-27°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and fostering adiabatic warming—far exceeding early May climatological norms around 18°C. Realistic challenges include sudden marine inflow or unforecasted cloudiness capping peaks at 25°C, though strong model agreement and current data render this unlikely; final Wunderground readings will resolve post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,227วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) that Munich's highest temperature at the airport station (EDDM) on May 3 will reach 26°C or higher, driven by mid-afternoon observations already hitting 26°C under sunny skies and light winds, as reported by BBC Weather. Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles confirm daily highs of 26-27°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and fostering adiabatic warming—far exceeding early May climatological norms around 18°C. Realistic challenges include sudden marine inflow or unforecasted cloudiness capping peaks at 25°C, though strong model agreement and current data render this unlikely; final Wunderground readings will resolve post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,227วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) that Munich's highest temperature at the airport station (EDDM) on May 3 will reach 26°C or higher, driven by mid-afternoon observations already hitting 26°C under sunny skies and light winds, as reported by BBC Weather. Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles confirm daily highs of 26-27°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and fostering adiabatic warming—far exceeding early May climatological norms around 18°C. Realistic challenges include sudden marine inflow or unforecasted cloudiness capping peaks at 25°C, though strong model agreement and current data render this unlikely; final Wunderground readings will resolve post-midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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