Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 33°C or higher as the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, reflecting strong alignment across major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project peak daytime highs of 34–35°C under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and intense solar heating. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' observations of already elevated morning temperatures and minimal cloud cover, atypical for early May's rainy season onset, combined with low wind speeds limiting sea-breeze moderation. Historical airport data shows similar synoptic setups routinely yielding 33°C+ peaks, with model ensembles assigning over 95% probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or strengthened onshore flow capping highs below 33°C, though current guidance deems this unlikely; monitor hourly METAR reports for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Panama City on May 1?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 1?
33°C or higher 99.6%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$47,997 ปริมาณ
$47,997 ปริมาณ
May 1, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
Yes
33°C or higher 99.6%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$47,997 ปริมาณ
$47,997 ปริมาณ
May 1, 2026
23°C or below
$554 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$71 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$700 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$2,210 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$1,874 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$3,017 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$4,378 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$5,361 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$2,764 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$8,075 ปริมาณ
No
33°C or higher
$18,995 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 33°C or higher as the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, reflecting strong alignment across major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project peak daytime highs of 34–35°C under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and intense solar heating. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' observations of already elevated morning temperatures and minimal cloud cover, atypical for early May's rainy season onset, combined with low wind speeds limiting sea-breeze moderation. Historical airport data shows similar synoptic setups routinely yielding 33°C+ peaks, with model ensembles assigning over 95% probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or strengthened onshore flow capping highs below 33°C, though current guidance deems this unlikely; monitor hourly METAR reports for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,997วันสิ้นสุด
May 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 33°C or higher as the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, reflecting strong alignment across major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project peak daytime highs of 34–35°C under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and intense solar heating. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' observations of already elevated morning temperatures and minimal cloud cover, atypical for early May's rainy season onset, combined with low wind speeds limiting sea-breeze moderation. Historical airport data shows similar synoptic setups routinely yielding 33°C+ peaks, with model ensembles assigning over 95% probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or strengthened onshore flow capping highs below 33°C, though current guidance deems this unlikely; monitor hourly METAR reports for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,997วันสิ้นสุด
May 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 33°C or higher as the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, reflecting strong alignment across major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project peak daytime highs of 34–35°C under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and intense solar heating. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' observations of already elevated morning temperatures and minimal cloud cover, atypical for early May's rainy season onset, combined with low wind speeds limiting sea-breeze moderation. Historical airport data shows similar synoptic setups routinely yielding 33°C+ peaks, with model ensembles assigning over 95% probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or strengthened onshore flow capping highs below 33°C, though current guidance deems this unlikely; monitor hourly METAR reports for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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