Latest National Weather Service forecasts project Seattle highs near 71–74°F on July 11, driven by persistent marine layer influence, moderate onshore flow, and absence of strong high pressure or downslope warming. This aligns with recent model consensus showing stable conditions after earlier July warmth, tempered by typical Puget Sound sea breezes that cap afternoon peaks. El Niño development supports a broader warmer-than-average summer outlook, yet short-term guidance keeps the day near seasonal norms rather than pushing into the 80s. The tight clustering of market probabilities across the 70–73°F bins reflects minor uncertainties in exact timing of any clearing, wind shifts, or boundary layer mixing that could differentiate outcomes by just 1–2°F. Updated model runs and evening observations will further refine resolution criteria.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seattle on July 11?
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 11?
74-75°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$67,712 ปริมาณ
$67,712 ปริมาณ
Jul 11, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$67,712 ปริมาณ
$67,712 ปริมาณ
Jul 11, 2026
65°F or below
$13,717 ปริมาณ
<1%
66-67°F
$1,461 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$4,881 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$6,851 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$5,538 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$8,473 ปริมาณ
100%
76-77°F
$6,143 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$3,839 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$12,132 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$2,998 ปริมาณ
<1%
84°F or higher
$1,679 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts project Seattle highs near 71–74°F on July 11, driven by persistent marine layer influence, moderate onshore flow, and absence of strong high pressure or downslope warming. This aligns with recent model consensus showing stable conditions after earlier July warmth, tempered by typical Puget Sound sea breezes that cap afternoon peaks. El Niño development supports a broader warmer-than-average summer outlook, yet short-term guidance keeps the day near seasonal norms rather than pushing into the 80s. The tight clustering of market probabilities across the 70–73°F bins reflects minor uncertainties in exact timing of any clearing, wind shifts, or boundary layer mixing that could differentiate outcomes by just 1–2°F. Updated model runs and evening observations will further refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 9, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$67,712วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts project Seattle highs near 71–74°F on July 11, driven by persistent marine layer influence, moderate onshore flow, and absence of strong high pressure or downslope warming. This aligns with recent model consensus showing stable conditions after earlier July warmth, tempered by typical Puget Sound sea breezes that cap afternoon peaks. El Niño development supports a broader warmer-than-average summer outlook, yet short-term guidance keeps the day near seasonal norms rather than pushing into the 80s. The tight clustering of market probabilities across the 70–73°F bins reflects minor uncertainties in exact timing of any clearing, wind shifts, or boundary layer mixing that could differentiate outcomes by just 1–2°F. Updated model runs and evening observations will further refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$67,712วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts project Seattle highs near 71–74°F on July 11, driven by persistent marine layer influence, moderate onshore flow, and absence of strong high pressure or downslope warming. This aligns with recent model consensus showing stable conditions after earlier July warmth, tempered by typical Puget Sound sea breezes that cap afternoon peaks. El Niño development supports a broader warmer-than-average summer outlook, yet short-term guidance keeps the day near seasonal norms rather than pushing into the 80s. The tight clustering of market probabilities across the 70–73°F bins reflects minor uncertainties in exact timing of any clearing, wind shifts, or boundary layer mixing that could differentiate outcomes by just 1–2°F. Updated model runs and evening observations will further refine resolution criteria.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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