Trader consensus around 25–27°C for Shanghai’s June 25 maximum reflects the influence of the East Asian monsoon and ongoing meiyu (plum rain) conditions, which bring persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and elevated humidity that typically cap daytime highs near or slightly below seasonal averages. Late-June climatology shows highs rising toward 28–30°C as solar heating strengthens, yet model runs highlight sensitivity to the precise timing and intensity of rain bands, which can suppress peaks by several degrees through reduced insolation or allow brief warming during lulls. With outcomes tightly clustered and no dominant signal in the latest ensemble guidance, market-implied probabilities capture genuine forecast spread from variables such as boundary-layer moisture and steering flow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 25?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 25?
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$136,470 ปริมาณ
$136,470 ปริมาณ
Jun 25, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$136,470 ปริมาณ
$136,470 ปริมาณ
Jun 25, 2026
21°C or below
$1,582 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$2,136 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$21,308 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$22,465 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$25,609 ปริมาณ
Yes
26°C
$28,755 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$20,071 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$9,265 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$3,068 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$1,232 ปริมาณ
No
31°C or higher
$978 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 25–27°C for Shanghai’s June 25 maximum reflects the influence of the East Asian monsoon and ongoing meiyu (plum rain) conditions, which bring persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and elevated humidity that typically cap daytime highs near or slightly below seasonal averages. Late-June climatology shows highs rising toward 28–30°C as solar heating strengthens, yet model runs highlight sensitivity to the precise timing and intensity of rain bands, which can suppress peaks by several degrees through reduced insolation or allow brief warming during lulls. With outcomes tightly clustered and no dominant signal in the latest ensemble guidance, market-implied probabilities capture genuine forecast spread from variables such as boundary-layer moisture and steering flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$136,470วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 25–27°C for Shanghai’s June 25 maximum reflects the influence of the East Asian monsoon and ongoing meiyu (plum rain) conditions, which bring persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and elevated humidity that typically cap daytime highs near or slightly below seasonal averages. Late-June climatology shows highs rising toward 28–30°C as solar heating strengthens, yet model runs highlight sensitivity to the precise timing and intensity of rain bands, which can suppress peaks by several degrees through reduced insolation or allow brief warming during lulls. With outcomes tightly clustered and no dominant signal in the latest ensemble guidance, market-implied probabilities capture genuine forecast spread from variables such as boundary-layer moisture and steering flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$136,470วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 23, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus around 25–27°C for Shanghai’s June 25 maximum reflects the influence of the East Asian monsoon and ongoing meiyu (plum rain) conditions, which bring persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and elevated humidity that typically cap daytime highs near or slightly below seasonal averages. Late-June climatology shows highs rising toward 28–30°C as solar heating strengthens, yet model runs highlight sensitivity to the precise timing and intensity of rain bands, which can suppress peaks by several degrees through reduced insolation or allow brief warming during lulls. With outcomes tightly clustered and no dominant signal in the latest ensemble guidance, market-implied probabilities capture genuine forecast spread from variables such as boundary-layer moisture and steering flow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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