Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 31°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 6, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting National Environment Agency (NEA) observational data from automated climate stations across the island. Despite NEA's April 30 fortnightly outlook forecasting daily maximums of 33–35°C amid inter-monsoon conditions, frequent afternoon thundery showers—totaling above-average rainfall—suppressed peak heating, capping the observed high at 31°C, consistent with May climatology where averages hover around 31°C but showers often limit extremes. Historical patterns show such convective activity routinely moderates tropical heat; official records, updated by the 10th, could confirm this, though revisions are rare absent measurement errors. A challenge would require overlooked station data exceeding 31°C before midnight, unlikely given evening cooling trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Singapore on May 6?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 6?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$70,271 ปริมาณ
$70,271 ปริมาณ
May 6, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$70,271 ปริมาณ
$70,271 ปริมาณ
May 6, 2026
25°C or below
$1,033 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$1,023 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$672 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$1,122 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$8,852 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$6,111 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$12,075 ปริมาณ
Yes
32°C
$11,032 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$10,047 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$11,377 ปริมาณ
No
35°C or higher
$6,928 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 31°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 6, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting National Environment Agency (NEA) observational data from automated climate stations across the island. Despite NEA's April 30 fortnightly outlook forecasting daily maximums of 33–35°C amid inter-monsoon conditions, frequent afternoon thundery showers—totaling above-average rainfall—suppressed peak heating, capping the observed high at 31°C, consistent with May climatology where averages hover around 31°C but showers often limit extremes. Historical patterns show such convective activity routinely moderates tropical heat; official records, updated by the 10th, could confirm this, though revisions are rare absent measurement errors. A challenge would require overlooked station data exceeding 31°C before midnight, unlikely given evening cooling trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 4, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$70,271วันสิ้นสุด
May 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 4, 2026, 1:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 31°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 6, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting National Environment Agency (NEA) observational data from automated climate stations across the island. Despite NEA's April 30 fortnightly outlook forecasting daily maximums of 33–35°C amid inter-monsoon conditions, frequent afternoon thundery showers—totaling above-average rainfall—suppressed peak heating, capping the observed high at 31°C, consistent with May climatology where averages hover around 31°C but showers often limit extremes. Historical patterns show such convective activity routinely moderates tropical heat; official records, updated by the 10th, could confirm this, though revisions are rare absent measurement errors. A challenge would require overlooked station data exceeding 31°C before midnight, unlikely given evening cooling trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$70,271วันสิ้นสุด
May 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 4, 2026, 1:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 31°C as Singapore's highest temperature on May 6, 2026, with 100% implied probability, reflecting National Environment Agency (NEA) observational data from automated climate stations across the island. Despite NEA's April 30 fortnightly outlook forecasting daily maximums of 33–35°C amid inter-monsoon conditions, frequent afternoon thundery showers—totaling above-average rainfall—suppressed peak heating, capping the observed high at 31°C, consistent with May climatology where averages hover around 31°C but showers often limit extremes. Historical patterns show such convective activity routinely moderates tropical heat; official records, updated by the 10th, could confirm this, though revisions are rare absent measurement errors. A challenge would require overlooked station data exceeding 31°C before midnight, unlikely given evening cooling trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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