**Forecast consensus for August 30 centers on a daytime maximum of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv, driving the heavy weighting toward those outcomes in the market.** Multiple numerical weather models and official outlooks from sources including the Met Office, Yr.no, and regional forecasters project afternoon highs in this narrow band, with peaks near 31°C around midday to early afternoon before any showers develop. This aligns with late-August climatology for the eastern Mediterranean, where typical highs average 29–30°C but can reach the low 30s under clear, subsiding conditions. Recent model runs highlight increased low-level moisture and a 50–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms, particularly in the afternoon and evening, which limits insolation and caps the peak through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Winds from the west or northwest around 10–15 km/h further moderate temperatures by enhancing mixing. The implied probabilities reflect this scientific picture: strong trader consensus around 31°C (58%) and 30°C (18.5%), with lower odds for 32°C+ reflecting limited upside potential if convection is delayed or weaker than expected. Updated model guidance closer to the date will be the key variable to watch.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 30?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 30?
31°C 57%
30°C 38%
32°C 13%
27°C or below 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
27°C or below
6%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
38%
31°C
57%
32°C
13%
33°C
6%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 57%
30°C 38%
32°C 13%
27°C or below 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
27°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
28°C
$176 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$16 ปริมาณ
4%
30°C
$18 ปริมาณ
38%
31°C
$240 ปริมาณ
57%
32°C
$5 ปริมาณ
13%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C or higher
$16 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for August 30 centers on a daytime maximum of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv, driving the heavy weighting toward those outcomes in the market.** Multiple numerical weather models and official outlooks from sources including the Met Office, Yr.no, and regional forecasters project afternoon highs in this narrow band, with peaks near 31°C around midday to early afternoon before any showers develop.
This aligns with late-August climatology for the eastern Mediterranean, where typical highs average 29–30°C but can reach the low 30s under clear, subsiding conditions. Recent model runs highlight increased low-level moisture and a 50–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms, particularly in the afternoon and evening, which limits insolation and caps the peak through evaporative cooling and cloud cover.
Winds from the west or northwest around 10–15 km/h further moderate temperatures by enhancing mixing. The implied probabilities reflect this scientific picture: strong trader consensus around 31°C (58%) and 30°C (18.5%), with lower odds for 32°C+ reflecting limited upside potential if convection is delayed or weaker than expected. Updated model guidance closer to the date will be the key variable to watch.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$472วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for August 30 centers on a daytime maximum of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv, driving the heavy weighting toward those outcomes in the market.** Multiple numerical weather models and official outlooks from sources including the Met Office, Yr.no, and regional forecasters project afternoon highs in this narrow band, with peaks near 31°C around midday to early afternoon before any showers develop.
This aligns with late-August climatology for the eastern Mediterranean, where typical highs average 29–30°C but can reach the low 30s under clear, subsiding conditions. Recent model runs highlight increased low-level moisture and a 50–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms, particularly in the afternoon and evening, which limits insolation and caps the peak through evaporative cooling and cloud cover.
Winds from the west or northwest around 10–15 km/h further moderate temperatures by enhancing mixing. The implied probabilities reflect this scientific picture: strong trader consensus around 31°C (58%) and 30°C (18.5%), with lower odds for 32°C+ reflecting limited upside potential if convection is delayed or weaker than expected. Updated model guidance closer to the date will be the key variable to watch.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$472วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus for August 30 centers on a daytime maximum of 30–31°C in Tel Aviv, driving the heavy weighting toward those outcomes in the market.** Multiple numerical weather models and official outlooks from sources including the Met Office, Yr.no, and regional forecasters project afternoon highs in this narrow band, with peaks near 31°C around midday to early afternoon before any showers develop. This aligns with late-August climatology for the eastern Mediterranean, where typical highs average 29–30°C but can reach the low 30s under clear, subsiding conditions. Recent model runs highlight increased low-level moisture and a 50–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms, particularly in the afternoon and evening, which limits insolation and caps the peak through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Winds from the west or northwest around 10–15 km/h further moderate temperatures by enhancing mixing. The implied probabilities reflect this scientific picture: strong trader consensus around 31°C (58%) and 30°C (18.5%), with lower odds for 32°C+ reflecting limited upside potential if convection is delayed or weaker than expected. Updated model guidance closer to the date will be the key variable to watch.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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