**Official forecasts from Environment Canada indicate a high of 26–28°C for Toronto on July 26, 2026, under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30–40% chance of showers.** This aligns closely with the market’s tight clustering around 27°C (29.5%) and 28°C (35.0%), as traders weigh model consensus against variables that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Key differentiators include the extent of cloud cover and timing of any showers, which limit solar heating and thus suppress peak temperatures, versus periods of clearer skies that could push readings toward 29°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence and typical July lake-breeze effects further constrain extremes, keeping odds of 30°C or higher low at around 12%. Historical normals place the July high near 27°C, providing a baseline that reinforces the current distribution. With resolution imminent, updated short-range model runs and real-time observations will likely refine probabilities among the leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Toronto on July 26?
Highest temperature in Toronto on July 26?
28°C 34%
27°C 29%
29°C 20%
26°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 26, 2026
25°C or below
8%
26°C
11%
27°C
29%
28°C
34%
29°C
20%
30°C
11%
31°C
10%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
28°C 34%
27°C 29%
29°C 20%
26°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 26, 2026
25°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
26°C
$42 ปริมาณ
11%
27°C
$14 ปริมาณ
29%
28°C
$21 ปริมาณ
34%
29°C
$26 ปริมาณ
20%
30°C
$2 ปริมาณ
11%
31°C
$2 ปริมาณ
10%
32°C
$32 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$187 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$149 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C or higher
$27 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Environment Canada indicate a high of 26–28°C for Toronto on July 26, 2026, under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30–40% chance of showers.** This aligns closely with the market’s tight clustering around 27°C (29.5%) and 28°C (35.0%), as traders weigh model consensus against variables that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
Key differentiators include the extent of cloud cover and timing of any showers, which limit solar heating and thus suppress peak temperatures, versus periods of clearer skies that could push readings toward 29°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence and typical July lake-breeze effects further constrain extremes, keeping odds of 30°C or higher low at around 12%. Historical normals place the July high near 27°C, providing a baseline that reinforces the current distribution. With resolution imminent, updated short-range model runs and real-time observations will likely refine probabilities among the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$478วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Environment Canada indicate a high of 26–28°C for Toronto on July 26, 2026, under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30–40% chance of showers.** This aligns closely with the market’s tight clustering around 27°C (29.5%) and 28°C (35.0%), as traders weigh model consensus against variables that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
Key differentiators include the extent of cloud cover and timing of any showers, which limit solar heating and thus suppress peak temperatures, versus periods of clearer skies that could push readings toward 29°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence and typical July lake-breeze effects further constrain extremes, keeping odds of 30°C or higher low at around 12%. Historical normals place the July high near 27°C, providing a baseline that reinforces the current distribution. With resolution imminent, updated short-range model runs and real-time observations will likely refine probabilities among the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$478วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Environment Canada indicate a high of 26–28°C for Toronto on July 26, 2026, under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30–40% chance of showers.** This aligns closely with the market’s tight clustering around 27°C (29.5%) and 28°C (35.0%), as traders weigh model consensus against variables that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Key differentiators include the extent of cloud cover and timing of any showers, which limit solar heating and thus suppress peak temperatures, versus periods of clearer skies that could push readings toward 29°C. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence and typical July lake-breeze effects further constrain extremes, keeping odds of 30°C or higher low at around 12%. Historical normals place the July high near 27°C, providing a baseline that reinforces the current distribution. With resolution imminent, updated short-range model runs and real-time observations will likely refine probabilities among the leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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